Ottawa, IL, Illinois: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+20%. Republican peak: R+54 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 147,1812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,2962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 28,183 | 42,515 | 71,841 | ||
| R | 30,449 | 42,517 | 74,576 | ||
| R | 26,719 | 37,737 | 69,426 | ||
| R | 32,766 | 32,922 | 67,234 | ||
| D | 38,232 | 31,161 | 70,635 | ||
| R | 33,928 | 37,546 | 71,983 | ||
| D | 32,766 | 31,239 | 66,009 | ||
| D | 30,719 | 22,814 | 61,328 | ||
| D | 32,401 | 23,883 | 71,146 | ||
| R | 31,226 | 32,578 | 64,140 | ||
| R | 28,944 | 41,041 | 70,317 | ||
| R | 23,729 | 40,766 | 69,836 | ||
| R | 32,015 | 37,540 | 70,472 | ||
| R | 28,650 | 45,641 | 74,426 | ||
| R | 30,232 | 38,621 | 72,818 | ||
| D | 41,368 | 31,899 | 73,267 | ||
| R | 36,478 | 41,606 | 78,151 | ||
| R | 25,012 | 49,094 | 74,214 | ||
| R | 28,504 | 48,848 | 77,478 | ||
| R | 27,034 | 37,065 | 64,524 | ||
| R | 29,330 | 41,502 | 73,103 | ||
| R | 39,173 | 40,332 | 79,991 | ||
| D | 37,879 | 34,137 | 74,424 | ||
| D | 39,363 | 28,950 | 69,518 | ||
| R | 28,162 | 36,983 | 65,631 | ||
| R | 8,471 | 32,238 | 53,298 | ||
| R | 9,342 | 35,342 | 47,928 | ||
| R | 21,203 | 30,319 | 53,360 | ||
| O | 10,260 | 7,077 | 30,399 | ||
| R | 10,873 | 17,273 | 30,584 | ||
| R | 7,900 | 18,344 | 28,998 | ||
| R | 12,644 | 17,997 | 31,807 | ||
| R | 12,548 | 17,728 | 30,985 | ||
| D | 13,434 | 12,442 | 27,358 | ||
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Demographics
Ottawa anchors the La Salle County micropolitan area, where a historically unionized industrial base has shifted alongside broader rural realignment, producing notable swings in presidential margins over the past three election cycles.
The Democratic margin in Ottawa, IL peaked at fifteen points in 1932. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $72,296 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Ottawa, IL, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/36837/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.