akashic
1876–2024
Ottumwa, IA·Iowa

Ottumwa, IA changed direction in the last decade — R+31 in 2024.

A meatpacking river city where blue-collar heritage shapes the ballot

18762024·38 elections
IA
Latest
R+31
in 2024
Archetype
Recent convert
since the recent cycles
Population
35,362
2024 ACS

Ottumwa, IA, Iowa: Recent convert metro. In 2024, voted R+31%. Democratic peak: D+43 in 1964.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+31MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Recent convertAkashic typology
Population
35,3622024 5-year
Median household income
$64,7662024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
79.1%2024 5-year
Black
3.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
13.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+43 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+40 in 1920MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−31.4%
4,8969,47914,583
R
−23.6%
5,8219,51615,633
R
−20.4%
5,5948,71515,277
D
+11.9%
8,6636,78915,770
D
+13.5%
8,8206,66315,931
D
+10.3%
9,1257,40316,707
D
+13.5%
8,3556,31315,139
D
+24.4%
8,4374,82814,770
D
+23.7%
8,6704,85216,083
D
+30.8%
10,1775,35015,673
D
+19.4%
10,5457,09817,800
D
+8.2%
8,9237,47517,668
D
+20.1%
10,2496,78617,268
R
−5.2%
8,3489,30118,171
D
+8.3%
9,3757,82518,647
D
+43.2%
13,9715,52419,546
D
+0.4%
11,11611,03622,167
D
+2.6%
10,96010,40121,381
R
−5.1%
10,44911,57122,150
D
+15.6%
10,8417,87518,976
D
+13.0%
10,7328,24419,089
D
+13.5%
11,8809,03921,006
D
+15.8%
10,5787,64718,512
D
+13.2%
9,5047,25617,076
R
−33.0%
5,79311,58617,528
R
−39.4%
3,0399,87017,329
R
−39.6%
4,1319,88414,537
R
−4.4%
3,9944,3989,229
D
+4.1%
3,1022,7558,470
R
−9.1%
3,7244,5418,959
R
−30.1%
2,4734,9128,105
R
−9.4%
3,9024,7428,912
R
−3.3%
4,0414,3198,510
R
−3.4%
3,3803,6437,804
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
17.6%
English
12.5%
Irish
9.9%
American
6.4%
Italian
1.7%
French
1.5%
Scottish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
84.9%
speak English only
Spanish9.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.5%
Other Indo-European1.2%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
11.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
7.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.2%
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
Methodist
1.3%
Baptist
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 70.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Ottumwa anchors Wapello County along the Des Moines River, where a large Latino workforce tied to the IBP/Tyson plant has gradually reshaped a historically union-Democrat electorate that has swung sharply toward Republicans in recent presidential cycles.

The 2016 election was the turning point, when the Republican candidate carried the metro by twenty points. The 2024 margin was thirty-one points, in line with the metro's new direction.

The demographics suggest why. A population of 35,362, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,766 situate the metro in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ottumwa, IA, Iowa — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/36900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Ottumwa, IA, Iowa vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ottumwa, IA, Iowa voted Republican by 31.4 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,583 votes cast, 4,896 went Democratic and 9,479 went Republican.
What is Ottumwa, IA, Iowa's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Ottumwa, IA, Iowa as a "Recent convert" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 14 times, and other 0 times.
When did Ottumwa, IA, Iowa last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Ottumwa, IA, Iowa voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Ottumwa, IA, Iowa?
Ottumwa, IA, Iowa has a population of 35,362 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ottumwa, IA, Iowa?
Median household income in Ottumwa, IA, Iowa is $64,766 — below the national median of $80,734. The Iowa state median is $75,059.
What is the political history of Ottumwa, IA, Iowa?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ottumwa, IA, Iowa from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Recent convert" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.