Ottumwa, IA, Iowa: Recent convert metro. In 2024, voted R+31%. Democratic peak: D+43 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Recent convertAkashic typology
- Population
- 35,3622024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,7662024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,896 | 9,479 | 14,583 | ||
| R | 5,821 | 9,516 | 15,633 | ||
| R | 5,594 | 8,715 | 15,277 | ||
| D | 8,663 | 6,789 | 15,770 | ||
| D | 8,820 | 6,663 | 15,931 | ||
| D | 9,125 | 7,403 | 16,707 | ||
| D | 8,355 | 6,313 | 15,139 | ||
| D | 8,437 | 4,828 | 14,770 | ||
| D | 8,670 | 4,852 | 16,083 | ||
| D | 10,177 | 5,350 | 15,673 | ||
| D | 10,545 | 7,098 | 17,800 | ||
| D | 8,923 | 7,475 | 17,668 | ||
| D | 10,249 | 6,786 | 17,268 | ||
| R | 8,348 | 9,301 | 18,171 | ||
| D | 9,375 | 7,825 | 18,647 | ||
| D | 13,971 | 5,524 | 19,546 | ||
| D | 11,116 | 11,036 | 22,167 | ||
| D | 10,960 | 10,401 | 21,381 | ||
| R | 10,449 | 11,571 | 22,150 | ||
| D | 10,841 | 7,875 | 18,976 | ||
| D | 10,732 | 8,244 | 19,089 | ||
| D | 11,880 | 9,039 | 21,006 | ||
| D | 10,578 | 7,647 | 18,512 | ||
| D | 9,504 | 7,256 | 17,076 | ||
| R | 5,793 | 11,586 | 17,528 | ||
| R | 3,039 | 9,870 | 17,329 | ||
| R | 4,131 | 9,884 | 14,537 | ||
| R | 3,994 | 4,398 | 9,229 | ||
| D | 3,102 | 2,755 | 8,470 | ||
| R | 3,724 | 4,541 | 8,959 | ||
| R | 2,473 | 4,912 | 8,105 | ||
| R | 3,902 | 4,742 | 8,912 | ||
| R | 4,041 | 4,319 | 8,510 | ||
| R | 3,380 | 3,643 | 7,804 | ||
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Demographics
Ottumwa anchors Wapello County along the Des Moines River, where a large Latino workforce tied to the IBP/Tyson plant has gradually reshaped a historically union-Democrat electorate that has swung sharply toward Republicans in recent presidential cycles.
The 2016 election was the turning point, when the Republican candidate carried the metro by twenty points. The 2024 margin was thirty-one points, in line with the metro's new direction.
The demographics suggest why. A population of 35,362, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,766 situate the metro in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.
Ottumwa, IA, Iowa — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/36900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.