Owatonna, MN, Minnesota: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+24%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+24MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 37,4392024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,1962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 7,650 | 12,742 | 20,872 | ||
| R | 7,917 | 12,656 | 21,128 | ||
| R | 6,241 | 11,198 | 19,179 | ||
| R | 8,706 | 9,903 | 19,124 | ||
| R | 9,016 | 10,068 | 19,656 | ||
| R | 7,994 | 10,389 | 18,695 | ||
| R | 6,900 | 8,223 | 16,066 | ||
| D | 6,974 | 5,617 | 14,964 | ||
| R | 5,152 | 5,964 | 15,789 | ||
| R | 5,496 | 7,981 | 13,610 | ||
| R | 5,060 | 8,780 | 13,910 | ||
| R | 5,095 | 7,805 | 14,279 | ||
| R | 6,263 | 7,053 | 13,647 | ||
| R | 4,010 | 7,678 | 11,868 | ||
| R | 4,631 | 6,193 | 11,190 | ||
| D | 6,022 | 4,882 | 10,939 | ||
| R | 4,491 | 6,795 | 11,301 | ||
| R | 3,293 | 6,435 | 9,764 | ||
| R | 2,819 | 6,956 | 9,804 | ||
| R | 4,305 | 4,451 | 8,816 | ||
| R | 3,307 | 4,760 | 8,082 | ||
| R | 3,668 | 5,517 | 9,199 | ||
| D | 4,481 | 3,373 | 8,224 | ||
| D | 4,318 | 3,365 | 7,790 | ||
| R | 2,826 | 4,744 | 7,595 | ||
| R | 796 | 3,598 | 6,047 | ||
| R | 1,167 | 4,243 | 5,550 | ||
| R | 1,497 | 1,734 | 3,322 | ||
| D | 1,294 | 651 | 3,200 | ||
| R | 1,284 | 1,899 | 3,325 | ||
| R | 1,067 | 2,095 | 3,303 | ||
| R | 1,188 | 1,833 | 3,143 | ||
| R | 1,248 | 2,046 | 3,444 | ||
| D | 1,396 | 1,299 | 2,866 | ||
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Demographics
Owatonna anchors a small metro whose electorate blends blue-collar factory workers with surrounding agricultural townships, producing competitive margins that often track statewide results within a point or two.
The Democratic margin in Owatonna, MN peaked at twenty points in 1912. By 2000 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $84,196 sits well below state and national norms, and 8% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Owatonna, MN, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/36940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.