Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA, California: Recent convert metro. In 2024, voted D+15%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+15MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Recent convertAkashic typology
- Population
- 837,4692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $109,7972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 44.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 217,424 | 158,901 | 387,704 | ||
| D | 251,388 | 162,207 | 422,825 | ||
| D | 194,402 | 132,323 | 356,107 | ||
| D | 170,929 | 147,958 | 327,712 | ||
| D | 187,601 | 145,853 | 341,041 | ||
| R | 148,859 | 160,314 | 313,193 | ||
| R | 133,258 | 136,173 | 282,692 | ||
| D | 110,772 | 109,202 | 251,194 | ||
| D | 99,011 | 94,911 | 267,647 | ||
| R | 89,065 | 147,604 | 239,473 | ||
| R | 66,550 | 151,383 | 220,462 | ||
| R | 56,311 | 114,930 | 190,650 | ||
| R | 68,529 | 82,670 | 155,400 | ||
| R | 49,307 | 95,310 | 150,805 | ||
| R | 47,794 | 59,705 | 116,261 | ||
| D | 57,805 | 40,264 | 98,238 | ||
| D | 35,334 | 35,074 | 70,723 | ||
| R | 26,276 | 26,342 | 52,767 | ||
| R | 21,489 | 23,392 | 45,137 | ||
| D | 18,100 | 13,930 | 33,049 | ||
| D | 16,342 | 11,071 | 27,544 | ||
| D | 15,182 | 11,225 | 26,634 | ||
| D | 13,384 | 7,579 | 21,198 | ||
| D | 10,903 | 6,908 | 18,535 | ||
| R | 3,717 | 9,017 | 12,851 | ||
| R | 911 | 5,705 | 8,755 | ||
| R | 1,305 | 5,231 | 6,883 | ||
| R | 2,835 | 3,980 | 7,213 | ||
| O | 2,108 | 0 | 4,833 | ||
| R | 1,181 | 1,864 | 3,295 | ||
| R | 840 | 1,995 | 3,124 | ||
| R | 1,333 | 1,708 | 3,190 | ||
| R | 1,465 | 1,553 | 3,081 | ||
| R | 958 | 1,283 | 2,753 | ||
| R | 906 | 1,107 | 2,056 | ||
| R | 603 | 749 | 1,388 | ||
| R | 522 | 599 | 1,125 | ||
| R | 591 | 608 | 1,199 |
Demographics
Stretching from Oxnard's farmworker-dense flatlands to Thousand Oaks' affluent suburbs, this Ventura County metro combines Latino working-class communities with college-educated professionals in a mix that has produced double-digit Democratic leads for over a decade.
The 2008 election was the turning point, when the Democratic candidate carried the metro by twelve points. The 2024 margin was fifteen points, in line with the metro's new direction.
The demographics suggest why. A population of 837,469, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,797 situate the metro in the broader realignment patterns of recent cycles.
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/37100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.