Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+44%. Democratic peak: D+48 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 102,7482024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,0502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 13,865 | 35,822 | 50,293 | ||
| R | 15,147 | 36,342 | 52,234 | ||
| R | 12,827 | 34,445 | 49,351 | ||
| R | 15,439 | 31,828 | 48,071 | ||
| R | 17,906 | 30,540 | 49,210 | ||
| R | 19,034 | 29,594 | 48,949 | ||
| R | 19,375 | 23,768 | 44,026 | ||
| D | 21,349 | 15,866 | 41,482 | ||
| D | 22,725 | 16,702 | 44,946 | ||
| D | 21,077 | 20,065 | 41,508 | ||
| R | 21,015 | 21,567 | 42,998 | ||
| D | 22,598 | 18,400 | 41,976 | ||
| D | 25,898 | 12,185 | 39,188 | ||
| R | 12,746 | 19,957 | 33,656 | ||
| D | 15,723 | 11,587 | 37,179 | ||
| D | 26,153 | 9,243 | 35,523 | ||
| D | 21,217 | 17,948 | 39,171 | ||
| D | 23,408 | 14,034 | 37,545 | ||
| D | 21,344 | 12,872 | 34,253 | ||
| D | 19,248 | 7,856 | 27,584 | ||
| D | 19,192 | 10,348 | 29,719 | ||
| D | 21,966 | 10,718 | 32,804 | ||
| D | 21,166 | 9,286 | 30,663 | ||
| D | 20,839 | 8,035 | 29,173 | ||
| R | 12,883 | 14,267 | 27,227 | ||
| D | 14,094 | 10,707 | 26,657 | ||
| D | 17,792 | 13,401 | 31,815 | ||
| D | 10,747 | 9,093 | 20,462 | ||
| D | 7,671 | 4,267 | 15,176 | ||
| D | 9,704 | 7,235 | 17,513 | ||
| D | 7,706 | 6,353 | 14,661 | ||
| D | 8,795 | 6,672 | 15,739 | ||
| D | 8,464 | 6,087 | 14,864 | ||
| D | 5,183 | 3,897 | 10,547 | ||
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Demographics
Paducah's metro straddles the Kentucky-Illinois border where the Ohio and Tennessee rivers meet, giving it an unusual cross-state economic identity; McCracken County, its Kentucky core, has shifted toward double-digit Republican margins in presidential races over the past two decades.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Paducah, KY-IL peaked at forty-eight points in 1964; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of ten points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $64,050 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line.
Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/37140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.