akashic
1876–2024
Paducah, KY-IL·Kentucky

For one hundred four years, Paducah, KY-IL voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

Ohio–Tennessee river confluence anchors a two-state media market

18762024·38 elections
KY
Latest
R+44
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
102,748
2024 ACS

Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+44%. Democratic peak: D+48 in 1964.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+44MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
102,7482024 5-year
Median household income
$64,0502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.8%2024 5-year
Black
7.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+48 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+44 in 2016MIT Election Lab
5 counties · 0 D · 5 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−43.7%
13,86535,82250,293
R
−40.6%
15,14736,34252,234
R
−43.8%
12,82734,44549,351
R
−34.1%
15,43931,82848,071
R
−25.7%
17,90630,54049,210
R
−21.6%
19,03429,59448,949
R
−10.0%
19,37523,76844,026
D
+13.2%
21,34915,86641,482
D
+13.4%
22,72516,70244,946
D
+2.4%
21,07720,06541,508
R
−1.3%
21,01521,56742,998
D
+10.0%
22,59818,40041,976
D
+35.0%
25,89812,18539,188
R
−21.4%
12,74619,95733,656
D
+11.1%
15,72311,58737,179
D
+47.6%
26,1539,24335,523
D
+8.3%
21,21717,94839,171
D
+25.0%
23,40814,03437,545
D
+24.7%
21,34412,87234,253
D
+41.3%
19,2487,85627,584
D
+29.8%
19,19210,34829,719
D
+34.3%
21,96610,71832,804
D
+38.7%
21,1669,28630,663
D
+43.9%
20,8398,03529,173
R
−5.1%
12,88314,26727,227
D
+12.7%
14,09410,70726,657
D
+13.8%
17,79213,40131,815
D
+8.1%
10,7479,09320,462
D
+22.4%
7,6714,26715,176
D
+14.1%
9,7047,23517,513
D
+9.2%
7,7066,35314,661
D
+13.5%
8,7956,67215,739
D
+16.0%
8,4646,08714,864
D
+12.2%
5,1833,89710,547
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
18.7%
German
11.6%
American
10.7%
Irish
8.7%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.6%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.2%
speak English only
Spanish1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
44.2%
Other Christian
14.6%
Methodist
6.3%
Mainline Protestant
4.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 24.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Paducah's metro straddles the Kentucky-Illinois border where the Ohio and Tennessee rivers meet, giving it an unusual cross-state economic identity; McCracken County, its Kentucky core, has shifted toward double-digit Republican margins in presidential races over the past two decades.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Paducah, KY-IL peaked at forty-eight points in 1964; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of ten points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $64,050 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/37140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky voted Republican by 43.7 points (R+44), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 50,293 votes cast, 13,865 went Democratic and 35,822 went Republican.
What is Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 24 times, Republican 10 times, and other 0 times.
When did Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky has a population of 102,748 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Median household income in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky is $64,050 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Paducah, KY-IL, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.