akashic
1876–2024
Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL·Florida

Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL changed its political identity in living memory.

Florida Panhandle media market anchored by military and tourism economies

18762024·38 elections
FL
Latest
R+49
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
211,922
2024 ACS

Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+49%. Democratic peak: D+74 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+49MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
211,9222024 5-year
Median household income
$71,6872024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
75.6%2024 5-year
Black
10.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+74 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+68 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−49.4%
27,31881,850110,321
R
−45.6%
27,96175,973105,351
R
−47.4%
24,06170,83198,609
R
−44.1%
24,87164,91490,860
R
−41.6%
26,51664,86192,258
R
−43.1%
23,98060,77385,390
R
−32.9%
21,67143,67766,902
R
−19.9%
20,06031,88959,555
R
−20.8%
15,39026,53753,560
R
−44.5%
13,74736,17050,415
R
−50.1%
11,30033,96445,269
R
−21.2%
15,49924,19941,074
D
+5.4%
18,42416,52135,480
R
−68.3%
4,52024,02228,545
O
−3.1%
4,7425,64929,234
R
−25.0%
9,34615,57424,920
D
+31.1%
12,6776,66519,342
D
+28.6%
10,8095,99816,807
D
+30.3%
11,0525,91216,964
D
+55.9%
6,5481,2259,523
D
+66.2%
8,0161,6339,649
D
+68.4%
7,0681,3278,395
D
+68.5%
5,4911,0276,518
D
+73.7%
5,1167745,890
R
−17.1%
1,8612,6464,598
D
+42.1%
1,4005242,080
D
+26.3%
1,5688582,700
D
+41.8%
1,3514382,183
D
+56.8%
694821,078
D
+31.1%
6522881,169
D
+27.3%
414202776
No data
No data
No data
No data
D
+16.2%
319230549
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
13.4%
Irish
10.8%
German
10.2%
American
8.6%
Italian
3.6%
French
2.6%
Scottish
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.9%
speak English only
Spanish6.2%
Other Indo-European1.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
13.9%
Other Christian
10.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.0%
Methodist
3.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Bay County's mix of Tyndall Air Force Base personnel and Gulf Coast resort workers produces an electorate that has trended heavily Republican in recent cycles, with the 2018 Hurricane Michael recovery shaping local priorities well into the following decade.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL peaked at seventy-four points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1980 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of twenty-one points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $71,687 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/37460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida voted Republican by 49.4 points (R+49), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 110,321 votes cast, 27,318 went Democratic and 81,850 went Republican.
What is Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 15 times, and other 1 times.
When did Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida?
Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida has a population of 211,922 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida is $71,687 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Panama City-Panama City Beach, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.