akashic
1876–2024
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD·Pennsylvania

Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD delivered D+25 in 2024.

A four-state metro where Philadelphia's turnout anchors regional margins

18762024·38 elections
PA
Latest
D+25
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
6,272,014
2024 ACS

Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+25%. Republican peak: R+58 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+25MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
6,272,0142024 5-year
Median household income
$94,0312024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
60.1%2024 5-year
Black
20.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
10.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+32 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+58 in 1924MIT Election Lab
11 counties · 7 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+25.3%
2,046,6861,210,1413,307,049
D
+29.7%
2,159,4921,162,1863,354,445
D
+27.6%
1,850,0361,022,8422,993,342
D
+29.0%
1,831,216999,8232,865,008
D
+31.3%
1,925,329999,7542,952,612
D
+22.3%
1,689,6191,069,5222,774,672
D
+23.9%
1,418,345857,7962,343,385
D
+24.4%
1,213,682694,3142,131,740
D
+16.0%
1,172,226791,9122,381,356
R
−2.3%
1,067,1021,118,3352,206,722
R
−5.8%
1,085,0111,219,1042,314,809
R
−3.3%
942,2461,014,1992,157,739
D
+8.8%
1,167,211974,6682,181,040
R
−13.3%
930,8841,220,9392,183,829
D
+7.7%
1,065,760897,5682,172,790
D
+32.1%
1,419,733728,6992,154,808
D
+11.7%
1,189,708939,5242,133,202
R
−6.1%
896,9401,013,7331,914,470
D
+0.6%
943,961932,0361,883,170
R
−5.7%
726,984816,5341,581,784
D
+10.0%
835,241682,5131,523,617
D
+11.9%
886,308697,5101,590,707
D
+16.8%
910,333643,8921,587,264
R
−16.9%
474,812674,3021,182,243
R
−33.0%
422,495842,2101,271,229
R
−57.6%
137,652606,549814,613
R
−45.2%
187,360524,209745,019
R
−27.1%
173,329306,701491,844
O
−1.6%
138,679145,886437,885
R
−33.0%
148,348296,938450,903
R
−52.6%
99,895323,174424,869
R
−41.3%
108,692262,931373,067
R
−40.9%
109,901269,138389,079
R
−11.7%
146,238185,856338,134
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
16.8%
German
13.5%
Italian
12.1%
English
7.9%
Polish
4.5%
American
3.2%
Scottish
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
82.8%
speak English only
Spanish7.1%
Other Indo-European4.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander3.9%
Other languages1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
27.2%
Other Christian
6.4%
Non-Christian
4.7%
Mainline Protestant
3.9%
Baptist
3.2%
Methodist
2.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Spanning Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, and Maryland, this metro's electoral weight concentrates in Philadelphia County, which has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 400,000 votes in recent presidential cycles while suburban collar counties trend increasingly competitive.

The Democratic margin in Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD has rarely exceeded thirty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-eight points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by twenty-five points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 60% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $94,031 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/37980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania voted Democratic by 25.3 points (D+25), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,307,049 votes cast, 2,046,686 went Democratic and 1,210,141 went Republican.
What is Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.
When did Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania?
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania has a population of 6,272,014 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania is $94,031 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.