Pittsburgh, PA, Pennsylvania: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+48 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 2,439,9402024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,3602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+36 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1904MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 671,128 | 734,418 | 1,422,932 | ||
| R | 666,791 | 712,053 | 1,394,920 | ||
| R | 563,858 | 633,488 | 1,252,500 | ||
| R | 570,888 | 588,513 | 1,176,428 | ||
| D | 621,470 | 591,836 | 1,226,013 | ||
| D | 629,679 | 580,468 | 1,217,556 | ||
| D | 570,550 | 483,639 | 1,084,721 | ||
| D | 507,168 | 390,147 | 1,003,129 | ||
| D | 571,546 | 331,645 | 1,119,869 | ||
| D | 614,593 | 419,054 | 1,043,066 | ||
| D | 656,497 | 508,879 | 1,176,169 | ||
| D | 535,239 | 477,450 | 1,092,729 | ||
| D | 591,353 | 507,030 | 1,123,524 | ||
| R | 473,424 | 631,268 | 1,129,109 | ||
| D | 628,643 | 446,314 | 1,207,849 | ||
| D | 828,924 | 390,604 | 1,224,167 | ||
| D | 713,480 | 563,936 | 1,279,920 | ||
| R | 557,608 | 628,434 | 1,187,897 | ||
| D | 638,475 | 578,753 | 1,222,307 | ||
| D | 530,481 | 410,913 | 966,024 | ||
| D | 565,516 | 429,418 | 999,990 | ||
| D | 603,724 | 436,521 | 1,045,059 | ||
| D | 632,498 | 324,280 | 982,586 | ||
| D | 339,013 | 275,344 | 644,280 | ||
| R | 256,924 | 411,644 | 674,810 | ||
| R | 59,261 | 278,803 | 469,777 | ||
| R | 89,890 | 245,286 | 373,208 | ||
| R | 102,730 | 136,451 | 260,670 | ||
| O | 65,667 | 44,650 | 237,032 | ||
| R | 76,760 | 136,003 | 236,615 | ||
| R | 50,919 | 157,999 | 224,018 | ||
| R | 67,084 | 133,687 | 209,234 | ||
| R | 72,858 | 137,901 | 215,046 | ||
| R | 69,800 | 90,514 | 166,375 | ||
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Demographics
The Pittsburgh metro has trended Republican at the county level over two decades as its post-industrial collar communities shifted rightward, even as Allegheny County's urban core continues to anchor Democratic margins in statewide contests.
The Democratic margin in Pittsburgh, PA has rarely exceeded thirty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-eight points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by four points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 83% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $76,360 — all within the broad national range.
Pittsburgh, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/38300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.