Ponca City, OK, Oklahoma: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+49%. Republican peak: R+59 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 43,6252024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,4232024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,136 | 12,483 | 16,913 | ||
| R | 4,040 | 12,834 | 17,249 | ||
| R | 3,738 | 12,172 | 16,803 | ||
| R | 4,627 | 11,499 | 16,126 | ||
| R | 5,463 | 13,230 | 18,693 | ||
| R | 5,957 | 14,121 | 20,078 | ||
| R | 6,122 | 11,768 | 18,162 | ||
| R | 6,882 | 9,741 | 19,514 | ||
| R | 6,643 | 9,115 | 22,828 | ||
| R | 7,751 | 12,646 | 20,564 | ||
| R | 6,044 | 16,731 | 22,911 | ||
| R | 6,449 | 15,004 | 22,337 | ||
| R | 9,371 | 12,441 | 22,086 | ||
| R | 4,246 | 17,244 | 21,984 | ||
| R | 6,031 | 12,751 | 21,591 | ||
| R | 11,296 | 12,033 | 23,329 | ||
| R | 8,249 | 15,156 | 23,405 | ||
| R | 8,071 | 14,837 | 22,908 | ||
| R | 8,382 | 16,460 | 24,842 | ||
| D | 10,119 | 8,982 | 19,101 | ||
| R | 8,656 | 9,498 | 18,242 | ||
| D | 10,725 | 10,003 | 20,884 | ||
| D | 11,846 | 6,671 | 18,649 | ||
| D | 12,841 | 5,884 | 18,725 | ||
| R | 4,196 | 13,829 | 18,161 | ||
| R | 6,049 | 7,392 | 14,448 | ||
| R | 4,546 | 5,959 | 10,736 | ||
| R | 2,340 | 2,482 | 5,318 | ||
| R | 2,380 | 2,508 | 5,267 | ||
| R | 2,511 | 2,754 | 5,410 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Ponca City anchors Kay County's energy economy, a heritage that has long correlated with conservative voting margins in statewide races while the city's refinery workforce adds a distinct blue-collar demographic layer.
The Democratic margin in Ponca City, OK peaked at thirty-seven points in 1932. By 1952 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $58,423 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Ponca City, OK, Oklahoma — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/38620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.