Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+64%. Republican peak: R+64 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 42,0202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $49,0892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,160 | 14,549 | 17,860 | ||
| R | 3,301 | 14,602 | 18,169 | ||
| R | 3,036 | 13,650 | 17,259 | ||
| R | 4,363 | 12,248 | 16,889 | ||
| R | 5,316 | 11,805 | 17,338 | ||
| R | 4,666 | 11,696 | 16,441 | ||
| R | 4,996 | 9,111 | 14,397 | ||
| R | 5,780 | 6,996 | 14,343 | ||
| D | 6,602 | 6,450 | 15,272 | ||
| R | 5,751 | 7,968 | 13,738 | ||
| R | 4,699 | 8,712 | 13,411 | ||
| R | 5,605 | 8,342 | 14,181 | ||
| D | 6,759 | 5,669 | 12,485 | ||
| R | 3,466 | 9,198 | 12,664 | ||
| R | 4,379 | 6,326 | 13,464 | ||
| D | 7,710 | 5,616 | 13,326 | ||
| R | 5,406 | 8,751 | 14,157 | ||
| R | 5,869 | 7,216 | 13,085 | ||
| R | 6,426 | 7,843 | 14,285 | ||
| D | 5,319 | 4,276 | 9,630 | ||
| R | 4,219 | 6,375 | 10,626 | ||
| R | 6,213 | 8,024 | 14,275 | ||
| R | 6,234 | 6,355 | 12,631 | ||
| D | 6,058 | 4,155 | 10,303 | ||
| R | 3,320 | 5,591 | 8,949 | ||
| R | 2,953 | 4,489 | 8,019 | ||
| R | 2,662 | 4,601 | 7,442 | ||
| R | 2,135 | 2,717 | 5,054 | ||
| D | 1,946 | 1,851 | 4,665 | ||
| R | 1,893 | 2,186 | 4,268 | ||
| R | 1,369 | 1,960 | 3,568 | ||
| R | 1,670 | 1,888 | 3,647 | ||
| D | 1,743 | 1,635 | 3,393 | ||
| D | 1,233 | 1,052 | 2,487 | ||
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Demographics
Anchored by Butler County, the Poplar Bluff metro has shifted decisively toward Republican margins over the past two decades, reflecting broader trends across Ozark-border small cities with manufacturing and timber economies.
The Democratic margin in Poplar Bluff, MO peaked at eighteen points in 1932. By 1996 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $49,089 sits well below state and national norms, and 21% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/38740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.