akashic
1876–2024
Poplar Bluff, MO·Missouri

Poplar Bluff, MO was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Gateway to the Missouri Ozarks, where rural realignment runs deep

18762024·38 elections
MO
Latest
R+64
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
42,020
2024 ACS

Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+64%. Republican peak: R+64 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+64MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
42,0202024 5-year
Median household income
$49,0892024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
86.8%2024 5-year
Black
4.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+18 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+64 in 2024MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−63.8%
3,16014,54917,860
R
−62.2%
3,30114,60218,169
R
−61.5%
3,03613,65017,259
R
−46.7%
4,36312,24816,889
R
−37.4%
5,31611,80517,338
R
−42.8%
4,66611,69616,441
R
−28.6%
4,9969,11114,397
R
−8.5%
5,7806,99614,343
D
+1.0%
6,6026,45015,272
R
−16.1%
5,7517,96813,738
R
−29.9%
4,6998,71213,411
R
−19.3%
5,6058,34214,181
D
+8.7%
6,7595,66912,485
R
−45.3%
3,4669,19812,664
R
−14.5%
4,3796,32613,464
D
+15.7%
7,7105,61613,326
R
−23.6%
5,4068,75114,157
R
−10.3%
5,8697,21613,085
R
−9.9%
6,4267,84314,285
D
+10.8%
5,3194,2769,630
R
−20.3%
4,2196,37510,626
R
−12.7%
6,2138,02414,275
R
−1.0%
6,2346,35512,631
D
+18.5%
6,0584,15510,303
R
−25.4%
3,3205,5918,949
R
−19.2%
2,9534,4898,019
R
−26.1%
2,6624,6017,442
R
−11.5%
2,1352,7175,054
D
+2.0%
1,9461,8514,665
R
−6.9%
1,8932,1864,268
R
−16.6%
1,3691,9603,568
R
−6.0%
1,6701,8883,647
D
+3.2%
1,7431,6353,393
D
+7.3%
1,2331,0522,487
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
14.2%
English
12.6%
Irish
12.0%
American
11.6%
Scottish
1.7%
Polish
1.6%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
98.2%
speak English only
Spanish0.9%
Other Indo-European0.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
15.0%
Other Christian
10.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
7.4%
Catholic & Orthodox
3.1%
Methodist
2.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Anchored by Butler County, the Poplar Bluff metro has shifted decisively toward Republican margins over the past two decades, reflecting broader trends across Ozark-border small cities with manufacturing and timber economies.

The Democratic margin in Poplar Bluff, MO peaked at eighteen points in 1932. By 1996 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $49,089 sits well below state and national norms, and 21% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/38740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 63.8 points (R+64), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 17,860 votes cast, 3,160 went Democratic and 14,549 went Republican.
What is Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 26 times, and other 0 times.
When did Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri?
Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri has a population of 42,020 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri is $49,089 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Poplar Bluff, MO, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 26 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.