Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA Metro Area — Elections 1876–2024

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+29%. Republican peak: R+58 in 1904.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+29MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 2,520,9872024 5-year
Median household income: $97,6492024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 71.0%2024 5-year
Black: 3.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 13.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+41 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+58 in 1904MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

7 counties · 4 D · 3 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+29.3%	834,368	444,248	1,330,853
2020	D	+30.5%	900,757	469,466	1,415,523
2016	D	+25.7%	672,364	371,379	1,172,059
2012	D	+23.4%	632,945	386,323	1,055,567
2008	D	+27.7%	657,076	366,490	1,049,768
2004	D	+15.3%	587,901	430,401	1,031,715
2000	D	+11.7%	443,629	345,239	841,448
1996	D	+15.7%	380,537	264,044	740,992
1992	D	+15.2%	356,487	238,124	781,048
1988	D	+9.5%	343,172	282,346	637,067
1984	R	−6.4%	290,504	330,464	624,360
1980	R	−3.3%	246,639	266,198	594,049
1976	R	−0.1%	255,813	256,598	535,061
1972	R	−4.6%	226,237	249,015	496,292
1968	D	+1.4%	211,351	205,269	439,507
1964	D	+30.7%	273,608	144,745	419,898
1960	R	−3.9%	198,802	214,980	414,298
1956	R	−7.2%	182,042	210,147	392,242
1952	R	−12.7%	163,227	211,069	376,347
1948	D	+3.8%	145,173	134,086	292,453
1944	D	+13.1%	158,795	121,481	284,164
1940	D	+13.1%	145,315	111,440	258,554
1936	D	+41.3%	154,935	61,915	225,495
1932	D	+24.5%	115,776	68,270	194,202
1928	R	−25.5%	63,736	108,293	174,910
1924	R	−26.9%	32,176	70,967	144,007
1920	R	−23.9%	40,120	68,051	116,682
1916	R	−8.3%	53,424	63,636	123,198
1912	O	+9.4%	22,190	15,985	66,241
1908	R	−26.4%	15,962	28,862	48,886
1904	R	−57.5%	4,949	24,809	34,526
1900	R	−27.0%	10,057	18,126	29,920
1896	R	−17.0%	14,771	20,993	36,551
1892	R	−31.3%	5,005	14,774	31,205
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

15.9%

English

13.4%

Irish

10.7%

American

4.5%

Italian

3.5%

Scottish

2.9%

French

2.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 39.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.7%

85+

1.1%

2.1%

75–84

2.6%

4.7%

65–74

5.2%

5.9%

55–64

5.9%

6.7%

45–54

6.5%

7.7%

35–44

7.6%

7.7%

25–34

7.5%

3.9%

18–24

3.8%

7.8%

5–17

7.5%

2.6%

2.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$97,649

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA ranks near the middle of US counties.

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA$97,649

Oregon$83,011

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

9.6%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1810.3%

Working age (18–64)9.2%

Seniors (65+)10.8%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

81.7%

speak English only

Spanish8.4%

Asian & Pacific Islander4.7%

Other Indo-European4.1%

Other languages1.0%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Other Christian

16.2%

Catholic & Orthodox

12.0%

Mainline Protestant

2.3%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.0%

Non-Christian

1.9%

Baptist

0.8%

Methodist

0.5%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 64.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Portland's urban core drives reliably Democratic margins, but the Clark County, WA portion adds a competitive suburban swing constituency that campaigns on both sides of the Columbia treat as a separate targeting problem.

The Democratic margin in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA has rarely exceeded forty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-eight points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by twenty-nine points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 71% non-Hispanic-white share, a 10% poverty rate, and a median household income of $97,649 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/38900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon vote in 2024?

In 2024, Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon voted Democratic by 29.3 points (D+29), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,330,853 votes cast, 834,368 went Democratic and 444,248 went Republican.

What is Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 17 times, Republican 16 times, and other 1 times.

When did Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon voted Republican was 1984.

How many people live in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon?

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon has a population of 2,520,987 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon?

Median household income in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon is $97,649 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.

What is the political history of Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA, Oregon from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 16 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA delivered D+29 in 2024.

Key facts

Demographics

Frequently asked questions