Port St. Lucie, FL, Florida: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+17%. Democratic peak: D+61 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 522,6762024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,0212024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+61 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 117,008 | 164,395 | 283,355 | ||
| R | 121,030 | 147,999 | 270,895 | ||
| R | 97,066 | 123,493 | 226,639 | ||
| R | 95,976 | 104,385 | 201,900 | ||
| D | 100,633 | 96,655 | 198,873 | ||
| R | 82,043 | 88,954 | 172,516 | ||
| R | 68,181 | 68,677 | 140,006 | ||
| R | 57,024 | 57,421 | 128,562 | ||
| R | 38,678 | 49,200 | 121,417 | ||
| R | 28,934 | 63,598 | 93,162 | ||
| R | 22,018 | 57,100 | 79,134 | ||
| R | 18,434 | 38,647 | 59,984 | ||
| R | 21,171 | 23,184 | 44,965 | ||
| R | 7,539 | 25,554 | 33,240 | ||
| R | 7,812 | 12,460 | 27,153 | ||
| R | 11,369 | 11,496 | 22,865 | ||
| R | 8,024 | 10,055 | 18,079 | ||
| R | 4,118 | 8,432 | 12,550 | ||
| R | 4,044 | 6,975 | 11,019 | ||
| R | 2,519 | 2,637 | 6,554 | ||
| D | 3,089 | 1,450 | 4,539 | ||
| D | 3,187 | 1,558 | 4,745 | ||
| D | 2,724 | 824 | 3,548 | ||
| D | 2,427 | 769 | 3,196 | ||
| R | 1,215 | 1,686 | 2,970 | ||
| D | 722 | 524 | 1,418 | ||
| D | 1,167 | 707 | 1,997 | ||
| D | 703 | 134 | 1,020 | ||
| D | 352 | 45 | 506 | ||
| D | 280 | 63 | 434 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Port St. Lucie has grown into one of Florida's fastest-expanding metros, driven largely by retiree and exurban migration that has steadily shifted its voter composition and made it a closely watched bellwether corridor between Miami and Orlando.
The Democratic margin in Port St. Lucie, FL peaked at sixty-one points in 1912. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was seventeen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $75,021 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Port St. Lucie, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/38940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.