Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ, Arizona: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+34%. Republican peak: R+45 in 1980.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 245,4802024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,6132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1980MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 48,717 | 99,346 | 149,428 | ||
| R | 49,602 | 91,527 | 143,640 | ||
| R | 35,590 | 71,330 | 114,450 | ||
| R | 33,918 | 64,468 | 100,667 | ||
| R | 36,889 | 61,192 | 99,648 | ||
| R | 33,127 | 53,468 | 87,583 | ||
| R | 24,063 | 40,144 | 68,228 | ||
| R | 21,801 | 29,921 | 59,495 | ||
| R | 18,268 | 23,419 | 59,415 | ||
| R | 14,514 | 27,842 | 43,206 | ||
| R | 9,609 | 24,802 | 34,988 | ||
| R | 6,664 | 19,823 | 28,994 | ||
| R | 7,685 | 12,998 | 21,600 | ||
| R | 3,977 | 12,277 | 18,667 | ||
| R | 3,989 | 8,296 | 14,196 | ||
| R | 5,747 | 7,749 | 13,556 | ||
| R | 4,325 | 6,813 | 11,147 | ||
| R | 3,315 | 6,339 | 9,654 | ||
| R | 3,628 | 6,567 | 10,195 | ||
| D | 4,439 | 4,287 | 8,922 | ||
| D | 4,395 | 3,529 | 7,960 | ||
| D | 6,217 | 3,987 | 10,282 | ||
| D | 6,628 | 2,794 | 9,926 | ||
| D | 6,326 | 2,626 | 9,141 | ||
| R | 3,285 | 4,507 | 7,794 | ||
| R | 1,800 | 2,827 | 6,763 | ||
| R | 2,251 | 3,625 | 5,876 | ||
| D | 2,893 | 1,716 | 4,983 | ||
| D | 1,001 | 445 | 2,362 | ||
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Demographics
Anchored by Prescott's retiree-heavy population and flanked by rapidly developing Prescott Valley, this metro has posted Republican margins above 30 points in recent statewide contests, even as Arizona's urban cores trend competitive.
The Democratic margin in Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ peaked at forty points in 1932. By 1952 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,613 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ, Arizona — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/39150/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.