akashic
1876–2024
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA·Rhode Island

Providence-Warwick, RI-MA delivered D+9 in 2024.

New England's smallest major metro, with outsized union and university clout

1876 — 2024·38 elections
RI
Latest
D+9
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
1,684,071
2024 ACS

Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+9%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 1964.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+9MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
1,684,0712024 5-year
Median household income
$87,2042024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
72.6%2024 5-year
Black
5.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
15.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+60 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+46 in 1896MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
6 counties · 6 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+9.2%
421,539348,484789,786
D
+17.5%
459,587319,709797,747
D
+13.3%
381,428285,933720,102
D
+25.0%
422,842251,049687,225
D
+26.4%
443,694255,660713,159
D
+23.3%
407,614251,570670,012
D
+31.0%
385,833193,403620,449
D
+35.5%
360,775151,847588,460
D
+19.8%
315,705183,971665,119
D
+11.9%
332,977261,558598,099
R
−2.4%
291,116305,312598,528
D
+8.2%
281,802232,338604,572
D
+15.4%
343,954251,206602,355
R
−1.2%
297,808304,773604,576
D
+32.9%
365,957179,031568,569
D
+60.4%
462,348113,845576,714
D
+29.4%
388,081211,792600,257
R
−16.3%
241,147335,361576,976
R
−2.0%
296,737309,040606,509
D
+19.3%
295,477199,003500,253
D
+18.1%
265,885184,367450,968
D
+16.9%
279,753198,796479,539
D
+15.8%
246,043174,785452,323
D
+11.2%
209,078166,112382,845
D
+1.6%
178,230172,727352,949
R
−29.4%
96,408184,215299,095
R
−37.3%
72,781164,187245,013
R
−6.9%
58,45967,436129,866
D
+1.6%
42,83240,982115,857
R
−27.4%
35,42564,625106,461
R
−24.4%
35,94260,34799,891
R
−27.8%
29,16753,18086,495
R
−46.4%
20,48159,06683,220
R
−9.4%
35,16142,70780,452
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
16.3%
Italian
12.4%
English
10.6%
French
7.4%
German
4.5%
American
3.5%
Polish
3.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.4%
2.3%
75–84
3.1%
5.1%
65–74
5.7%
6.8%
55–64
7.2%
6.1%
45–54
6.3%
6.4%
35–44
6.4%
6.9%
25–34
6.7%
4.8%
18–24
4.8%
7.5%
5–17
7.1%
2.5%
<5
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$87,204
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA ranks near the middle of US counties.
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA$87,204
Rhode Island$103,960
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
11.2%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.8%
Working age (18–64)10.2%
Seniors (65+)13.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.3%
speak English only
Spanish11.2%
Other Indo-European8.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages1.0%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
38.3%
Other Christian
4.3%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Non-Christian
1.4%
Baptist
0.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.8%
Methodist
0.6%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Providence-Warwick anchors a densely packed corridor where Brown University, RISD, and a historically strong labor movement shape an electorate that has leaned Democratic by double digits in recent presidential cycles.

The Democratic margin in Providence-Warwick, RI-MA has rarely exceeded sixty points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-six points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by nine points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 73% non-Hispanic-white share, a 11% poverty rate, and a median household income of $87,204 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/39300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island vote in 2024?
In 2024, Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island voted Democratic by 9.2 points (D+9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 789,786 votes cast, 421,539 went Democratic and 348,484 went Republican.
What is Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 12 times, and other 0 times.
When did Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island?
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island has a population of 1,684,071 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island?
Median household income in Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island is $87,204 — above the national median of $80,734. The Rhode Island state median is $103,960.
What is the political history of Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Providence-Warwick, RI-MA, Rhode Island from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.