akashic
1876–2024
Rio Grande City-Roma, TX·Texas

Rio Grande City-Roma, TX peaked at D+94; 2024 delivered R+16.

A majority-Hispanic border metro that shifted sharply toward Republicans in 2020

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+16
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
66,067
2024 ACS

Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+16%. Democratic peak: D+94 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+16MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
66,0672024 5-year
Median household income
$37,6392024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
32.9%2024 5-year
Black
0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
97.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+94 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+16 in 2024MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−16.0%
6,8629,48716,431
D
+5.0%
9,1238,24717,525
D
+60.2%
9,2892,22411,740
D
+73.3%
10,2601,54711,883
D
+69.3%
8,2741,4929,792
D
+47.5%
7,1992,5529,781
D
+54.3%
6,5051,9118,464
D
+76.5%
6,3127567,260
D
+69.7%
7,6681,2099,261
D
+69.9%
6,9581,2188,211
D
+50.5%
5,0471,6586,713
D
+54.3%
4,7821,3896,253
D
+74.8%
4,6466645,325
D
+16.3%
3,3202,3895,713
D
+47.5%
3,9221,3745,367
D
+71.2%
4,0566784,742
D
+87.0%
4,0512804,333
D
+66.6%
2,7275473,274
D
+66.3%
3,0556203,675
D
+83.0%
1,9961792,188
D
+89.2%
1,312681,395
D
+89.3%
1,200681,268
D
+75.2%
2,2893202,618
D
+91.9%
75432786
D
+80.6%
73679815
D
+94.1%
75623779
D
+64.9%
41889507
D
+63.5%
516115631
D
+45.5%
674252928
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
0.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
8.8%
speak English only
Spanish91.0%
Other Indo-European0.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
77.0%
Other Christian
4.6%
Baptist
1.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.6%
Mainline Protestant
0.4%
Methodist
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 15.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Starr County, the core of this Rio Grande metro, is over 95% Hispanic yet delivered a Republican presidential margin for the first time in decades in 2020, signaling a realignment that analysts across the spectrum are still working to explain.

The Democratic margin in Rio Grande City-Roma, TX peaked at ninety-four points in 1924. By 2024 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $37,639 sits well below state and national norms, and 34% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/40100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas voted Republican by 16.0 points (R+16), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,431 votes cast, 6,862 went Democratic and 9,487 went Republican.
What is Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 28 times, Republican 1 times, and other 0 times.
When did Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas?
Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas has a population of 66,067 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas is $37,639 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 1 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.