Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+16%. Democratic peak: D+94 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 66,0672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $37,6392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 32.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 97.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+16 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 6,862 | 9,487 | 16,431 | ||
| D | 9,123 | 8,247 | 17,525 | ||
| D | 9,289 | 2,224 | 11,740 | ||
| D | 10,260 | 1,547 | 11,883 | ||
| D | 8,274 | 1,492 | 9,792 | ||
| D | 7,199 | 2,552 | 9,781 | ||
| D | 6,505 | 1,911 | 8,464 | ||
| D | 6,312 | 756 | 7,260 | ||
| D | 7,668 | 1,209 | 9,261 | ||
| D | 6,958 | 1,218 | 8,211 | ||
| D | 5,047 | 1,658 | 6,713 | ||
| D | 4,782 | 1,389 | 6,253 | ||
| D | 4,646 | 664 | 5,325 | ||
| D | 3,320 | 2,389 | 5,713 | ||
| D | 3,922 | 1,374 | 5,367 | ||
| D | 4,056 | 678 | 4,742 | ||
| D | 4,051 | 280 | 4,333 | ||
| D | 2,727 | 547 | 3,274 | ||
| D | 3,055 | 620 | 3,675 | ||
| D | 1,996 | 179 | 2,188 | ||
| D | 1,312 | 68 | 1,395 | ||
| D | 1,200 | 68 | 1,268 | ||
| D | 2,289 | 320 | 2,618 | ||
| D | 754 | 32 | 786 | ||
| D | 736 | 79 | 815 | ||
| D | 756 | 23 | 779 | ||
| D | 418 | 89 | 507 | ||
| D | 516 | 115 | 631 | ||
| D | 674 | 252 | 928 | ||
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Demographics
Starr County, the core of this Rio Grande metro, is over 95% Hispanic yet delivered a Republican presidential margin for the first time in decades in 2020, signaling a realignment that analysts across the spectrum are still working to explain.
The Democratic margin in Rio Grande City-Roma, TX peaked at ninety-four points in 1924. By 2024 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $37,639 sits well below state and national norms, and 34% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/40100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.