Roanoke, VA, Virginia: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+19%. Democratic peak: D+45 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 314,9862024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,3852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+36 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 67,445 | 98,686 | 168,702 | ||
| R | 68,390 | 96,088 | 167,549 | ||
| R | 55,980 | 87,507 | 151,681 | ||
| R | 62,977 | 84,868 | 151,305 | ||
| R | 66,098 | 81,633 | 149,581 | ||
| R | 52,902 | 80,991 | 135,098 | ||
| R | 51,032 | 68,230 | 122,191 | ||
| R | 49,722 | 52,684 | 113,042 | ||
| R | 48,360 | 52,889 | 117,137 | ||
| R | 44,244 | 57,284 | 102,354 | ||
| R | 40,207 | 63,591 | 104,440 | ||
| R | 44,673 | 47,377 | 96,620 | ||
| D | 49,783 | 39,942 | 91,026 | ||
| R | 15,930 | 34,499 | 51,582 | ||
| R | 18,268 | 37,977 | 72,684 | ||
| D | 23,216 | 19,673 | 42,923 | ||
| R | 18,638 | 29,010 | 47,770 | ||
| R | 13,670 | 29,107 | 43,940 | ||
| R | 14,497 | 26,112 | 40,700 | ||
| R | 11,044 | 13,310 | 26,895 | ||
| D | 14,543 | 11,046 | 25,665 | ||
| D | 14,503 | 8,164 | 22,777 | ||
| D | 14,991 | 8,181 | 23,284 | ||
| D | 13,426 | 7,222 | 20,909 | ||
| R | 8,852 | 12,701 | 21,553 | ||
| D | 8,849 | 5,083 | 14,905 | ||
| D | 9,478 | 6,220 | 15,850 | ||
| D | 5,846 | 3,139 | 9,138 | ||
| D | 5,073 | 1,370 | 8,186 | ||
| D | 4,530 | 3,136 | 7,717 | ||
| D | 4,217 | 2,632 | 7,030 | ||
| D | 6,285 | 5,604 | 12,152 | ||
| D | 7,410 | 6,755 | 14,371 | ||
| D | 8,712 | 5,698 | 15,346 | ||
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Demographics
Roanoke's consolidated metro leans Democratic in its urban core but is ringed by reliably Republican rural counties, making the overall margin a consistent bellwether for southwestern Virginia's shifting political balance.
The shift began with civil rights. 1980 marked the realignment in Roanoke, VA, by a three points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at thirty-six points in 1972. The 2024 margin was nineteen points.
The political shift has tracked, in Roanoke, VA, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 77% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,385, and a 12% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Roanoke, VA, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/40220/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.