Rochelle, IL, Illinois: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+29%. Republican peak: R+68 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 51,4952024 5-year
- Median household income
- $82,1322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 8,883 | 16,450 | 25,799 | ||
| R | 9,428 | 16,248 | 26,340 | ||
| R | 8,050 | 14,352 | 24,193 | ||
| R | 9,514 | 13,422 | 23,367 | ||
| R | 11,253 | 13,144 | 24,850 | ||
| R | 9,018 | 14,918 | 24,091 | ||
| R | 7,673 | 12,325 | 20,601 | ||
| R | 6,765 | 9,558 | 18,335 | ||
| R | 6,512 | 9,008 | 20,109 | ||
| R | 5,641 | 11,644 | 17,394 | ||
| R | 4,803 | 13,503 | 18,396 | ||
| R | 4,067 | 12,533 | 18,871 | ||
| R | 6,463 | 11,073 | 17,797 | ||
| R | 4,743 | 13,512 | 18,290 | ||
| R | 4,399 | 12,168 | 17,641 | ||
| R | 6,917 | 10,430 | 17,347 | ||
| R | 4,792 | 13,226 | 18,025 | ||
| R | 3,660 | 13,194 | 16,870 | ||
| R | 3,796 | 13,351 | 17,163 | ||
| R | 3,796 | 9,519 | 13,378 | ||
| R | 3,951 | 10,680 | 14,712 | ||
| R | 4,833 | 11,838 | 16,742 | ||
| R | 5,776 | 9,576 | 15,546 | ||
| R | 5,416 | 8,224 | 13,912 | ||
| R | 2,691 | 9,808 | 12,546 | ||
| R | 1,591 | 8,449 | 11,799 | ||
| R | 1,720 | 9,322 | 11,233 | ||
| R | 3,207 | 8,639 | 12,283 | ||
| O | 1,750 | 2,014 | 6,745 | ||
| R | 1,761 | 4,848 | 7,002 | ||
| R | 1,209 | 5,109 | 6,799 | ||
| R | 2,171 | 5,255 | 7,619 | ||
| R | 2,142 | 5,210 | 7,529 | ||
| R | 2,244 | 3,939 | 6,499 | ||
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Demographics
Rochelle, IL sits in the Upper Midwest. For most of the post-war period it was a Democratic metro — its working-class profile gave it the same political habits as much of its region. That identity has shifted decisively in the last twenty years.
The Democratic margin in Rochelle, IL peaked at an earlier high. The 2024 margin was twenty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $82,132 sits well below state and national norms, and 8% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Rochelle, IL, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/40300/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.