akashic
1876–2024
Rockford, IL·Illinois

Rockford, IL was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Manufacturing-belt anchor where margins have tightened each cycle since 2008

18762024·38 elections
IL
Latest
R+2
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
336,522
2024 ACS

Rockford, IL, Illinois: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+2%. Republican peak: R+69 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
336,5222024 5-year
Median household income
$68,8002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
67.3%2024 5-year
Black
10.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
17.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+12 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+69 in 1920MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 1 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.9%
70,10172,930145,603
R
−0.1%
74,59874,744154,318
R
−2.2%
64,69967,906143,056
D
+3.8%
71,61566,234140,838
D
+11.5%
81,36764,289148,188
R
−2.8%
68,02671,914140,966
R
−3.2%
58,46262,433124,820
D
+0.8%
51,60950,660112,919
D
+4.5%
53,41247,810125,842
R
−11.6%
49,51462,622112,772
R
−19.4%
48,34671,739120,757
R
−17.1%
35,55955,522116,703
R
−11.4%
46,85759,206108,469
R
−24.6%
39,06864,685104,015
R
−14.0%
39,50353,582100,272
D
+7.7%
52,52844,97397,501
R
−13.5%
42,69556,09398,903
R
−28.0%
30,95355,03886,086
R
−19.5%
33,69650,09683,936
R
−8.4%
29,08634,45364,195
R
−9.9%
29,90536,54566,745
R
−9.9%
30,33837,01367,759
R
−1.3%
29,58330,37262,011
R
−22.0%
19,94631,87654,200
R
−61.9%
9,05539,22348,741
R
−65.1%
2,57626,85037,278
R
−68.8%
3,85125,29931,159
R
−42.9%
7,40920,07429,555
O
−6.4%
2,8163,89816,787
R
−55.5%
2,75011,72416,155
R
−67.0%
1,47911,17914,472
R
−53.3%
3,20211,26215,118
R
−55.7%
3,10411,35314,821
R
−38.9%
3,1527,84812,067
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.3%
Irish
11.9%
English
9.0%
Italian
6.9%
Polish
4.2%
American
2.9%
Scottish
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.9%
speak English only
Spanish11.5%
Other Indo-European2.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.4%
Other languages1.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
24.9%
Other Christian
12.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
5.7%
Mainline Protestant
5.6%
Baptist
2.6%
Methodist
2.4%
Non-Christian
1.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 44.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Rockford's Winnebago County shifted from reliably Democratic to genuine battleground territory as deindustrialization reshaped its working-class electorate, making it one of Illinois's few metro areas that statewide candidates treat as persuadable.

The Democratic margin in Rockford, IL peaked at twelve points in 2008. By 2016 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $68,800 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rockford, IL, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/40420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Rockford, IL, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rockford, IL, Illinois voted Republican by 1.9 points (R+2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 145,603 votes cast, 70,101 went Democratic and 72,930 went Republican.
What is Rockford, IL, Illinois's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Rockford, IL, Illinois as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 5 times, Republican 28 times, and other 1 times.
When did Rockford, IL, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Rockford, IL, Illinois voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Rockford, IL, Illinois?
Rockford, IL, Illinois has a population of 336,522 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rockford, IL, Illinois?
Median household income in Rockford, IL, Illinois is $68,800 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Rockford, IL, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Rockford, IL, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.