akashic
1876–2024
St. Joseph, MO-KS·Missouri

St. Joseph, MO-KS was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Missouri River crossroads where mid-size manufacturing meets a split state line

18762024·38 elections
MO
Latest
R+38
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
120,012
2024 ACS

St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+38%. Republican peak: R+38 in 2024.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+38MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
120,0122024 5-year
Median household income
$65,6222024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.9%2024 5-year
Black
5.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+28 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+38 in 2024MIT Election Lab
4 counties · 0 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−37.7%
16,40636,79754,158
R
−34.7%
17,41236,50955,048
R
−35.1%
15,46934,13153,179
R
−18.1%
20,33929,58751,200
R
−7.7%
25,31629,65056,077
R
−12.4%
23,64030,37954,505
R
−5.7%
22,57625,39349,723
D
+4.0%
21,38419,48047,019
D
+9.9%
22,05216,82452,998
D
+4.6%
24,99122,76847,988
R
−17.7%
20,25228,99349,285
R
−5.3%
22,22024,82649,327
D
+0.3%
23,92023,78448,085
R
−35.3%
15,11031,65246,859
R
−7.8%
20,27524,01348,118
D
+28.1%
31,57817,72649,320
R
−10.8%
24,59830,53055,140
R
−10.7%
23,84629,58853,446
R
−14.4%
24,90633,32358,305
D
+16.1%
29,13921,02750,267
D
+1.7%
25,56724,73550,335
D
+4.7%
32,03229,14461,252
D
+17.6%
37,95626,56264,755
D
+22.0%
34,39121,92356,697
R
−29.0%
17,62232,04249,760
R
−13.0%
20,84727,56351,709
R
−11.5%
21,75327,47449,738
D
+6.6%
16,38914,31431,310
D
+17.7%
13,2888,45727,232
R
−0.7%
14,36314,57329,373
R
−12.3%
11,74715,13827,542
R
−2.7%
14,03114,81829,323
R
−0.8%
13,02613,24526,503
R
−0.2%
9,8269,88023,223
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
23.2%
English
12.1%
Irish
11.5%
American
6.3%
Scottish
1.9%
French
1.5%
Polish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.9%
speak English only
Spanish3.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Other languages0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
14.2%
Baptist
9.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
7.4%
Methodist
4.8%
Mainline Protestant
3.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Non-Christian
0.4%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

St. Joseph spans the Missouri-Kansas border and has trended toward Republican margins in presidential cycles, driven by a blue-collar workforce and rural hinterlands that increasingly outweigh its small urban Democratic base.

The Democratic margin in St. Joseph, MO-KS peaked at twenty-eight points in 1964. By 2000 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $65,622 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/41140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri voted Republican by 37.7 points (R+38), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 54,158 votes cast, 16,406 went Democratic and 36,797 went Republican.
What is St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri's political archetype?
Akashic classifies St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 12 times, Republican 22 times, and other 0 times.
When did St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri?
St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri has a population of 120,012 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri?
Median household income in St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri is $65,622 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.