St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+38%. Republican peak: R+38 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 120,0122024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,6222024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 2024MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 16,406 | 36,797 | 54,158 | ||
| R | 17,412 | 36,509 | 55,048 | ||
| R | 15,469 | 34,131 | 53,179 | ||
| R | 20,339 | 29,587 | 51,200 | ||
| R | 25,316 | 29,650 | 56,077 | ||
| R | 23,640 | 30,379 | 54,505 | ||
| R | 22,576 | 25,393 | 49,723 | ||
| D | 21,384 | 19,480 | 47,019 | ||
| D | 22,052 | 16,824 | 52,998 | ||
| D | 24,991 | 22,768 | 47,988 | ||
| R | 20,252 | 28,993 | 49,285 | ||
| R | 22,220 | 24,826 | 49,327 | ||
| D | 23,920 | 23,784 | 48,085 | ||
| R | 15,110 | 31,652 | 46,859 | ||
| R | 20,275 | 24,013 | 48,118 | ||
| D | 31,578 | 17,726 | 49,320 | ||
| R | 24,598 | 30,530 | 55,140 | ||
| R | 23,846 | 29,588 | 53,446 | ||
| R | 24,906 | 33,323 | 58,305 | ||
| D | 29,139 | 21,027 | 50,267 | ||
| D | 25,567 | 24,735 | 50,335 | ||
| D | 32,032 | 29,144 | 61,252 | ||
| D | 37,956 | 26,562 | 64,755 | ||
| D | 34,391 | 21,923 | 56,697 | ||
| R | 17,622 | 32,042 | 49,760 | ||
| R | 20,847 | 27,563 | 51,709 | ||
| R | 21,753 | 27,474 | 49,738 | ||
| D | 16,389 | 14,314 | 31,310 | ||
| D | 13,288 | 8,457 | 27,232 | ||
| R | 14,363 | 14,573 | 29,373 | ||
| R | 11,747 | 15,138 | 27,542 | ||
| R | 14,031 | 14,818 | 29,323 | ||
| R | 13,026 | 13,245 | 26,503 | ||
| R | 9,826 | 9,880 | 23,223 | ||
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Demographics
St. Joseph spans the Missouri-Kansas border and has trended toward Republican margins in presidential cycles, driven by a blue-collar workforce and rural hinterlands that increasingly outweigh its small urban Democratic base.
The Democratic margin in St. Joseph, MO-KS peaked at twenty-eight points in 1964. By 2000 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-eight points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $65,622 sits well below state and national norms, and 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
St. Joseph, MO-KS, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/41140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.