akashic
1876–2024
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX·Texas

San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX votes the way the country votes.

Military payrolls and Latino plurality define this fast-growing megaregion

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+5
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
2,662,733
2024 ACS

San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+5%. Democratic peak: D+68 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+5MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
2,662,7332024 5-year
Median household income
$77,0942024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
47.0%2024 5-year
Black
7.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
54.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+68 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+24 in 1972MIT Election Lab
8 counties · 1 D · 7 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−5.3%
495,879552,0991,062,747
D
+3.3%
529,607495,1951,042,290
R
−1.1%
371,623380,665795,690
R
−8.0%
311,695366,744689,071
R
−5.0%
324,840359,129689,418
R
−19.3%
247,841367,271619,749
R
−15.5%
216,271298,442529,704
R
−1.3%
210,846216,618456,101
R
−2.5%
198,952211,605506,081
R
−9.2%
202,397243,696449,455
R
−23.6%
157,324254,477412,539
R
−10.7%
158,412198,049369,051
D
+7.9%
171,295146,009321,440
R
−23.7%
103,190167,509271,850
D
+9.6%
109,59488,524219,505
D
+33.6%
128,82063,969193,218
D
+6.5%
89,19678,247168,443
R
−19.0%
55,86382,187138,796
R
−15.7%
60,72183,447144,696
D
+13.1%
46,34035,02286,454
D
+13.7%
44,12733,10480,347
D
+29.1%
48,97026,85176,056
D
+46.6%
48,14317,43565,910
D
+67.7%
52,8479,98963,260
D
+4.0%
24,66622,77947,518
D
+3.6%
16,04814,61239,531
R
−15.8%
9,92314,37028,103
D
+6.4%
11,3019,91121,663
D
+38.1%
9,2252,86816,691
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
9.9%
English
6.9%
Irish
5.8%
American
3.8%
Italian
2.1%
Polish
1.4%
French
1.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
66.6%
speak English only
Spanish29.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.7%
Other Indo-European1.5%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
27.5%
Other Christian
12.0%
Baptist
6.4%
Methodist
2.1%
Mainline Protestant
2.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.8%
Non-Christian
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 47.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to four major military installations and a population that is roughly 55% Hispanic, the San Antonio–New Braunfels metro has trended more competitive at the presidential level even as Bexar County's suburban fringe absorbs rapid in-migration from across Texas.

The Democratic margin in San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX has rarely exceeded sixty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-four points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by five points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 47% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $77,094 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/41700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas voted Republican by 5.3 points (R+5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,062,747 votes cast, 495,879 went Democratic and 552,099 went Republican.
What is San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas?
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas has a population of 2,662,733 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas?
Median household income in San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas is $77,094 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.