akashic
1876–2024
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA·California

San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA has voted Democratic by double digits in every cycle this century.

Bay Area mega-metro where Democrats routinely clear 75% in federal races

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
D+52
in 2024
Archetype
Urban anchor
since the recent cycles
Population
4,645,029
2024 ACS

San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California: Urban anchor metro. In 2024, voted D+52%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 2016.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+52MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Urban anchorAkashic typology
Population
4,645,0292024 5-year
Median household income
$136,7132024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
37.7%2024 5-year
Black
6.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
23.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+60 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+48 in 1924MIT Election Lab
5 counties · 5 D · 0 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+52.0%
1,538,387459,3612,076,395
D
+59.5%
1,831,985445,7992,328,703
D
+59.9%
1,525,802329,2661,996,165
D
+53.5%
1,368,212395,4111,818,284
D
+54.6%
1,450,455411,7241,903,815
D
+46.8%
1,273,603453,5671,752,765
D
+39.8%
1,054,697427,3161,578,154
D
+37.2%
929,902382,2361,472,703
D
+36.7%
987,837385,1681,642,390
D
+23.5%
892,834550,0861,460,302
D
+10.2%
796,114647,0301,460,845
D
+1.5%
568,868549,7791,306,334
D
+6.7%
639,949556,2021,254,559
D
+3.0%
699,013657,8671,393,029
D
+12.1%
641,519491,8171,234,636
D
+33.3%
815,102407,6011,224,048
D
+6.9%
633,570551,4671,189,259
R
−8.1%
488,470575,3711,067,296
R
−8.7%
475,233566,2791,050,506
D
+0.4%
419,307415,337884,543
D
+17.8%
475,181330,855809,741
D
+15.5%
405,927295,550710,005
D
+39.2%
410,766177,253595,482
D
+21.0%
296,700190,284507,738
R
−15.7%
181,521250,243437,091
R
−48.0%
20,372177,915328,485
R
−45.4%
61,234190,903285,551
D
+2.3%
136,339129,776283,352
O
+43.7%
82,7560189,335
R
−29.1%
32,26663,497107,468
R
−39.4%
25,30666,059103,311
R
−20.9%
35,25655,02394,413
R
−7.6%
42,28549,35993,566
D
+5.1%
41,43737,11384,419
R
−1.0%
37,35138,12377,827
R
−11.7%
28,52736,27766,099
R
−0.3%
27,65627,80056,283
R
−5.3%
25,89828,81654,727

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
7.0%
Irish
6.9%
English
6.8%
Italian
4.2%
American
2.0%
French
1.6%
Polish
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
57.4%
speak English only
Asian & Pacific Islander17.4%
Spanish16.3%
Other Indo-European7.5%
Other languages1.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
22.2%
Other Christian
5.5%
Non-Christian
5.0%
Baptist
2.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Methodist
0.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to roughly 4.7 million residents, this metro combines San Francisco's dense urban core with Oakland's majority-minority electorate and Fremont's fast-growing South Asian and Chinese American communities, producing some of the most lopsided Democratic margins in the country.

The Democratic margin in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA has been steady. It reached its modern peak at sixty points in 2016; the 2024 margin was fifty-two points, still in line with the metro's long pattern.

Its political identity is inseparable from its demographic profile: a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $136,713, and the full diversity of a major metropolitan center.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/41860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California voted Democratic by 52.0 points (D+52), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,076,395 votes cast, 1,538,387 went Democratic and 459,361 went Republican.
What is San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California as a "Urban anchor" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 24 times, Republican 13 times, and other 1 times.
When did San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California voted Republican was 1956.
How many people live in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California?
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California has a population of 4,645,029 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California?
Median household income in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California is $136,713 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Urban anchor" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.