San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California: Urban anchor metro. In 2024, voted D+52%. Democratic peak: D+60 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+52MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Urban anchorAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,645,0292024 5-year
- Median household income
- $136,7132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 37.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+60 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 1,538,387 | 459,361 | 2,076,395 | ||
| D | 1,831,985 | 445,799 | 2,328,703 | ||
| D | 1,525,802 | 329,266 | 1,996,165 | ||
| D | 1,368,212 | 395,411 | 1,818,284 | ||
| D | 1,450,455 | 411,724 | 1,903,815 | ||
| D | 1,273,603 | 453,567 | 1,752,765 | ||
| D | 1,054,697 | 427,316 | 1,578,154 | ||
| D | 929,902 | 382,236 | 1,472,703 | ||
| D | 987,837 | 385,168 | 1,642,390 | ||
| D | 892,834 | 550,086 | 1,460,302 | ||
| D | 796,114 | 647,030 | 1,460,845 | ||
| D | 568,868 | 549,779 | 1,306,334 | ||
| D | 639,949 | 556,202 | 1,254,559 | ||
| D | 699,013 | 657,867 | 1,393,029 | ||
| D | 641,519 | 491,817 | 1,234,636 | ||
| D | 815,102 | 407,601 | 1,224,048 | ||
| D | 633,570 | 551,467 | 1,189,259 | ||
| R | 488,470 | 575,371 | 1,067,296 | ||
| R | 475,233 | 566,279 | 1,050,506 | ||
| D | 419,307 | 415,337 | 884,543 | ||
| D | 475,181 | 330,855 | 809,741 | ||
| D | 405,927 | 295,550 | 710,005 | ||
| D | 410,766 | 177,253 | 595,482 | ||
| D | 296,700 | 190,284 | 507,738 | ||
| R | 181,521 | 250,243 | 437,091 | ||
| R | 20,372 | 177,915 | 328,485 | ||
| R | 61,234 | 190,903 | 285,551 | ||
| D | 136,339 | 129,776 | 283,352 | ||
| O | 82,756 | 0 | 189,335 | ||
| R | 32,266 | 63,497 | 107,468 | ||
| R | 25,306 | 66,059 | 103,311 | ||
| R | 35,256 | 55,023 | 94,413 | ||
| R | 42,285 | 49,359 | 93,566 | ||
| D | 41,437 | 37,113 | 84,419 | ||
| R | 37,351 | 38,123 | 77,827 | ||
| R | 28,527 | 36,277 | 66,099 | ||
| R | 27,656 | 27,800 | 56,283 | ||
| R | 25,898 | 28,816 | 54,727 |
Demographics
Home to roughly 4.7 million residents, this metro combines San Francisco's dense urban core with Oakland's majority-minority electorate and Fremont's fast-growing South Asian and Chinese American communities, producing some of the most lopsided Democratic margins in the country.
The Democratic margin in San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA has been steady. It reached its modern peak at sixty points in 2016; the 2024 margin was fifty-two points, still in line with the metro's long pattern.
Its political identity is inseparable from its demographic profile: a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $136,713, and the full diversity of a major metropolitan center.
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/41860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.