Sebring, FL, Florida: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+41%. Republican peak: R+59 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+41MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 105,7022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,8972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 15,223 | 36,382 | 51,901 | ||
| R | 16,938 | 34,873 | 52,170 | ||
| R | 14,937 | 29,565 | 45,686 | ||
| R | 16,148 | 25,915 | 42,444 | ||
| R | 18,135 | 26,221 | 44,783 | ||
| R | 15,347 | 25,878 | 41,496 | ||
| R | 14,169 | 20,207 | 35,152 | ||
| R | 14,250 | 15,617 | 33,714 | ||
| R | 11,237 | 14,499 | 32,391 | ||
| R | 8,091 | 16,723 | 24,941 | ||
| R | 7,217 | 16,474 | 23,694 | ||
| R | 6,688 | 11,925 | 19,249 | ||
| R | 7,218 | 8,317 | 15,733 | ||
| R | 2,458 | 9,645 | 12,133 | ||
| R | 2,582 | 4,560 | 10,617 | ||
| R | 4,233 | 4,747 | 8,980 | ||
| R | 3,122 | 4,369 | 7,491 | ||
| R | 2,296 | 3,480 | 5,776 | ||
| R | 2,736 | 2,952 | 5,688 | ||
| D | 2,257 | 1,471 | 4,260 | ||
| D | 2,113 | 874 | 2,987 | ||
| D | 2,215 | 878 | 3,093 | ||
| D | 1,898 | 842 | 2,740 | ||
| D | 1,525 | 851 | 2,376 | ||
| R | 669 | 1,393 | 2,094 | ||
| D | 457 | 265 | 794 | ||
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Demographics
Sebring anchors a small, rural metro in south-central Florida where an aging, predominantly white population drives unusually high senior voter participation relative to its size, making retirement migration patterns a key variable in cycle-to-cycle margin shifts.
The Democratic margin in Sebring, FL peaked at forty-three points in 1940. By 1952 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $54,897 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Sebring, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/42700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.