Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+23%. Democratic peak: D+58 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 125,5662024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,7422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 34.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, AZOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 22,296 | 35,936 | 59,135 | ||
| R | 23,732 | 35,557 | 60,665 | ||
| R | 17,450 | 28,092 | 50,015 | ||
| R | 18,546 | 29,497 | 49,201 | ||
| R | 18,943 | 29,026 | 48,820 | ||
| R | 17,514 | 26,556 | 44,595 | ||
| R | 13,360 | 18,180 | 33,241 | ||
| R | 13,782 | 14,365 | 31,923 | ||
| D | 12,701 | 12,202 | 33,150 | ||
| R | 11,812 | 15,815 | 28,050 | ||
| R | 9,671 | 16,405 | 26,355 | ||
| R | 7,028 | 13,351 | 22,445 | ||
| R | 9,281 | 9,921 | 19,883 | ||
| R | 6,023 | 11,706 | 18,299 | ||
| R | 6,597 | 7,619 | 16,711 | ||
| D | 9,045 | 7,644 | 16,697 | ||
| R | 7,419 | 7,572 | 15,007 | ||
| R | 5,328 | 6,893 | 12,230 | ||
| R | 5,640 | 6,495 | 12,135 | ||
| D | 6,198 | 3,854 | 10,370 | ||
| D | 6,935 | 3,371 | 10,319 | ||
| D | 8,748 | 3,170 | 11,950 | ||
| D | 8,130 | 2,092 | 10,499 | ||
| D | 7,798 | 2,838 | 11,216 | ||
| R | 4,262 | 5,776 | 10,083 | ||
| R | 3,496 | 3,712 | 9,699 | ||
| R | 4,430 | 5,341 | 9,771 | ||
| D | 6,115 | 3,203 | 10,132 | ||
| O | 1,973 | 403 | 4,619 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.3%
English
12.6%
Irish
9.1%
American
3.5%
Italian
2.8%
French
2.3%
Scottish
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$59,742
Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ ranks near the middle of US counties.
Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ$59,742
Arizona$79,964
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.4%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.9%
Working age (18–64)14.0%
Seniors (65+)15.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
73.2%
speak English only
Spanish23.2%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.5%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 54.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Fort Huachuca anchors Cochise County's economy while the Douglas crossing generates cross-border commerce, producing an electorate that mixes defense-sector households with a majority-Hispanic population that has trended competitive in recent cycles.
The Democratic margin in Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ peaked at fifty-eight points in 1936. By 1996 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $59,742 sits well below state and national norms, and 15% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/43420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona voted Republican by 23.1 points (R+23), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 59,135 votes cast, 22,296 went Democratic and 35,936 went Republican.
What is Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 20 times, and other 1 times.
When did Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona?
Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona has a population of 125,566 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona?
Median household income in Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona is $59,742 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ, Arizona from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.