Sioux Falls, SD-MN, South Dakota: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+19%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 298,1812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $82,0812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 1904MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 56,266 | 83,754 | 143,321 | ||
| R | 55,927 | 77,807 | 137,410 | ||
| R | 41,651 | 65,374 | 115,088 | ||
| R | 46,918 | 61,133 | 110,204 | ||
| R | 53,459 | 58,013 | 113,591 | ||
| R | 42,762 | 62,787 | 107,087 | ||
| D | 46,179 | 36,037 | 83,570 | ||
| D | 38,423 | 37,064 | 82,269 | ||
| D | 34,639 | 33,594 | 84,321 | ||
| D | 38,032 | 36,976 | 75,308 | ||
| R | 30,790 | 41,855 | 72,957 | ||
| R | 26,950 | 38,625 | 72,465 | ||
| R | 31,522 | 33,721 | 65,575 | ||
| R | 31,078 | 34,088 | 65,401 | ||
| R | 23,510 | 31,661 | 57,197 | ||
| D | 31,026 | 26,497 | 57,525 | ||
| R | 22,304 | 36,755 | 59,064 | ||
| R | 19,140 | 35,402 | 54,546 | ||
| R | 13,999 | 39,315 | 53,321 | ||
| R | 18,631 | 23,965 | 43,086 | ||
| R | 15,957 | 25,867 | 41,851 | ||
| R | 19,760 | 31,643 | 51,427 | ||
| D | 24,084 | 22,419 | 48,749 | ||
| D | 24,695 | 17,508 | 42,861 | ||
| R | 12,914 | 25,233 | 38,275 | ||
| R | 2,792 | 15,788 | 30,721 | ||
| R | 4,586 | 18,768 | 27,692 | ||
| D | 9,381 | 7,781 | 17,897 | ||
| O | 5,629 | 463 | 15,177 | ||
| R | 4,791 | 10,247 | 15,822 | ||
| R | 2,879 | 11,848 | 15,725 | ||
| R | 6,099 | 9,507 | 15,944 | ||
| R | 6,822 | 7,448 | 14,413 | ||
| R | 2,321 | 5,402 | 11,321 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Sioux Falls has been one of the fastest-growing metros in the Great Plains for over a decade, drawing in-migrants whose varied backgrounds have gradually shifted its voter composition even as the broader region remains reliably Republican by wide margins.
The Democratic margin in Sioux Falls, SD-MN has rarely exceeded thirty-four points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-seven points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by nineteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 83% non-Hispanic-white share, a 8% poverty rate, and a median household income of $82,081 — all within the broad national range.
Sioux Falls, SD-MN, South Dakota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/43620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.