Somerset, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+57%. Republican peak: R+59 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 72,7992024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,4462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 8,596 | 31,993 | 40,987 | ||
| R | 8,654 | 31,466 | 40,543 | ||
| R | 7,376 | 27,379 | 36,073 | ||
| R | 9,436 | 23,984 | 34,078 | ||
| R | 12,878 | 21,686 | 35,168 | ||
| R | 12,842 | 23,802 | 36,778 | ||
| R | 12,028 | 20,218 | 32,985 | ||
| R | 12,719 | 14,735 | 31,591 | ||
| R | 12,493 | 13,858 | 32,759 | ||
| R | 13,815 | 16,809 | 30,768 | ||
| R | 13,900 | 19,502 | 33,491 | ||
| R | 11,695 | 17,729 | 30,455 | ||
| R | 13,452 | 15,960 | 29,685 | ||
| R | 8,743 | 19,739 | 28,841 | ||
| R | 11,515 | 17,511 | 30,921 | ||
| D | 17,934 | 14,817 | 32,814 | ||
| R | 14,739 | 20,554 | 35,335 | ||
| R | 13,163 | 20,568 | 33,748 | ||
| R | 13,167 | 18,589 | 31,820 | ||
| R | 8,727 | 13,910 | 22,978 | ||
| R | 10,287 | 16,039 | 26,405 | ||
| R | 14,085 | 17,369 | 31,512 | ||
| R | 16,184 | 17,375 | 33,741 | ||
| R | 7,919 | 11,857 | 20,249 | ||
| R | 4,489 | 16,404 | 21,057 | ||
| R | 2,315 | 12,389 | 17,032 | ||
| R | 2,912 | 12,436 | 16,404 | ||
| R | 2,957 | 6,008 | 9,800 | ||
| O | 2,164 | 1,428 | 9,588 | ||
| R | 2,246 | 6,478 | 9,495 | ||
| R | 1,686 | 6,772 | 9,358 | ||
| R | 2,151 | 6,677 | 9,109 | ||
| R | 2,295 | 5,861 | 8,319 | ||
| R | 2,262 | 4,670 | 7,185 | ||
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Demographics
Somerset County anchors a largely rural, coal-and-timber economy where white working-class voters have driven some of Pennsylvania's steepest partisan swings over the past three election cycles.
The Democratic margin in Somerset, PA peaked at nine points in 1964. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $61,446 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Somerset, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/43740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.