Sonora, CA, California: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+22%. Democratic peak: D+56 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 54,4982024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,4042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+56 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 10,909 | 17,210 | 28,816 | ||
| R | 11,978 | 17,689 | 30,408 | ||
| R | 9,123 | 14,551 | 25,893 | ||
| R | 9,998 | 13,880 | 24,758 | ||
| R | 11,532 | 14,988 | 27,303 | ||
| R | 10,104 | 15,745 | 26,235 | ||
| R | 9,359 | 13,172 | 23,727 | ||
| R | 8,950 | 10,386 | 21,972 | ||
| D | 9,216 | 8,525 | 24,178 | ||
| R | 8,717 | 10,646 | 19,715 | ||
| R | 7,283 | 10,485 | 18,051 | ||
| R | 5,449 | 8,810 | 16,063 | ||
| D | 6,492 | 6,104 | 13,003 | ||
| R | 4,596 | 5,894 | 10,856 | ||
| R | 3,913 | 4,330 | 9,119 | ||
| D | 4,939 | 2,861 | 7,820 | ||
| D | 3,781 | 3,691 | 7,516 | ||
| R | 3,310 | 3,619 | 6,943 | ||
| R | 2,593 | 3,753 | 6,402 | ||
| R | 2,561 | 2,639 | 5,474 | ||
| D | 2,566 | 1,864 | 4,462 | ||
| D | 3,541 | 2,004 | 5,624 | ||
| D | 3,303 | 1,199 | 4,542 | ||
| D | 2,521 | 1,145 | 3,794 | ||
| R | 1,360 | 1,731 | 3,159 | ||
| O | 357 | 1,287 | 2,991 | ||
| R | 659 | 1,285 | 2,164 | ||
| D | 1,584 | 1,057 | 2,922 | ||
| D | 1,459 | 0 | 2,625 | ||
| R | 878 | 943 | 2,124 | ||
| R | 1,006 | 1,280 | 2,625 | ||
| D | 1,530 | 1,309 | 2,903 | ||
| D | 1,308 | 834 | 2,191 | ||
| D | 916 | 739 | 1,822 | ||
| D | 1,159 | 854 | 2,075 | ||
| R | 870 | 1,040 | 1,955 | ||
| D | 1,001 | 922 | 1,938 | ||
| D | 916 | 809 | 1,725 |
Demographics
Tuolumne County's small but distinct labor market blends timber, agriculture, and outdoor recreation, producing a voter profile that has trended more competitive in statewide races over the past decade despite its historically conservative baseline.
The Democratic margin in Sonora, CA peaked at fifty-six points in 1912. By 1996 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $77,404 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Sonora, CA, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/43760/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.