Springfield, IL, Illinois: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+7%. Republican peak: R+33 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 207,0422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,7552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+23 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 47,908 | 55,478 | 105,602 | ||
| R | 50,939 | 58,249 | 112,096 | ||
| R | 42,724 | 54,175 | 104,888 | ||
| R | 44,207 | 54,173 | 100,448 | ||
| D | 54,006 | 50,617 | 106,292 | ||
| R | 40,767 | 60,312 | 101,949 | ||
| R | 40,578 | 54,236 | 97,687 | ||
| R | 41,106 | 45,280 | 93,973 | ||
| R | 42,316 | 42,475 | 103,159 | ||
| R | 39,832 | 53,735 | 94,108 | ||
| R | 35,885 | 58,011 | 94,289 | ||
| R | 30,943 | 52,994 | 90,734 | ||
| R | 40,318 | 46,446 | 88,389 | ||
| R | 27,307 | 54,115 | 82,338 | ||
| R | 31,182 | 39,490 | 77,991 | ||
| D | 45,564 | 35,399 | 80,979 | ||
| R | 37,861 | 44,603 | 82,528 | ||
| R | 30,782 | 46,139 | 76,960 | ||
| R | 35,472 | 42,699 | 78,224 | ||
| R | 31,239 | 36,613 | 68,241 | ||
| R | 30,601 | 35,884 | 66,671 | ||
| R | 34,837 | 38,995 | 74,086 | ||
| D | 35,433 | 32,629 | 69,947 | ||
| D | 36,198 | 29,183 | 66,466 | ||
| R | 22,768 | 35,200 | 58,296 | ||
| R | 14,594 | 26,374 | 50,663 | ||
| R | 12,864 | 24,702 | 41,592 | ||
| R | 20,647 | 23,593 | 45,983 | ||
| D | 9,936 | 4,614 | 23,072 | ||
| R | 11,099 | 12,022 | 24,446 | ||
| R | 9,077 | 12,343 | 23,353 | ||
| D | 11,577 | 11,401 | 23,463 | ||
| R | 10,600 | 10,640 | 21,642 | ||
| D | 9,413 | 7,287 | 17,908 | ||
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Demographics
Springfield's workforce skews heavily toward public-sector jobs tied to state government, insulating it from some private-sector swings while making its fiscal health unusually sensitive to Springfield's own budget cycles.
The Democratic margin in Springfield, IL peaked at twenty-three points in 1912. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was seven points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $75,755 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Springfield, IL, Illinois — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/44100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.