akashic
1876–2024
Springfield, MO·Missouri

Springfield, MO was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Ozarks anchor where evangelical identity shapes the ballot

18762024·38 elections
MO
Latest
R+35
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
486,785
2024 ACS

Springfield, MO, Missouri: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+35%. Republican peak: R+42 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+35MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
486,7852024 5-year
Median household income
$66,0642024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.0%2024 5-year
Black
2.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+11 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+42 in 1972MIT Election Lab
5 counties · 0 D · 5 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−35.0%
75,880159,917239,828
R
−33.7%
74,037151,899231,178
R
−38.0%
58,316138,154210,345
R
−31.5%
66,143129,325200,277
R
−22.0%
80,958127,347211,128
R
−29.8%
66,555123,555191,270
R
−21.0%
59,07891,505154,547
R
−10.2%
55,36669,703140,674
R
−4.3%
57,37763,821148,224
R
−18.8%
49,80172,932123,115
R
−34.3%
38,89179,457118,348
R
−18.2%
42,75662,863110,201
R
−4.5%
47,52952,077100,462
R
−42.2%
27,77368,27796,050
R
−24.5%
27,19947,75583,989
D
+7.5%
41,93636,11878,054
R
−31.0%
28,70854,54483,252
R
−20.6%
29,63645,01374,649
R
−27.1%
27,23447,53674,914
R
−3.1%
30,32332,26762,692
R
−21.3%
24,79738,25163,168
R
−10.8%
32,32340,17672,663
R
−1.1%
33,21133,98167,385
D
+11.0%
31,54125,19057,555
R
−36.5%
17,60237,88655,630
R
−8.5%
21,43225,76351,133
R
−24.2%
18,80831,18251,210
R
−8.3%
13,20315,67629,967
D
+2.0%
10,3369,79326,576
R
−10.4%
11,64114,49027,335
R
−20.4%
9,48914,74125,712
R
−7.7%
11,96314,02226,769
D
+2.8%
14,27713,48727,907
R
−13.5%
7,77410,87923,024
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
19.2%
English
16.1%
Irish
11.6%
American
7.2%
Italian
2.4%
Scottish
2.3%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.1%
Spanish2.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.9%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
16.5%
Pentecostal & Holiness
13.0%
Other Christian
10.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
4.4%
Methodist
3.3%
Mainline Protestant
2.9%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Springfield's metro anchors Missouri's Bible Belt interior, delivering some of the state's widest Republican margins in federal races. Its large student population at Missouri State tempers turnout patterns without significantly shifting the partisan baseline.

The Democratic margin in Springfield, MO peaked at eleven points in 1932. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $66,064 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Springfield, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/44180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Springfield, MO, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Springfield, MO, Missouri voted Republican by 35.0 points (R+35), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 239,828 votes cast, 75,880 went Democratic and 159,917 went Republican.
What is Springfield, MO, Missouri's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Springfield, MO, Missouri as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 30 times, and other 0 times.
When did Springfield, MO, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Springfield, MO, Missouri voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Springfield, MO, Missouri?
Springfield, MO, Missouri has a population of 486,785 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Springfield, MO, Missouri?
Median household income in Springfield, MO, Missouri is $66,064 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Springfield, MO, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Springfield, MO, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.