Springfield, MO, Missouri: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+35%. Republican peak: R+42 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 486,7852024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,0642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+11 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 75,880 | 159,917 | 239,828 | ||
| R | 74,037 | 151,899 | 231,178 | ||
| R | 58,316 | 138,154 | 210,345 | ||
| R | 66,143 | 129,325 | 200,277 | ||
| R | 80,958 | 127,347 | 211,128 | ||
| R | 66,555 | 123,555 | 191,270 | ||
| R | 59,078 | 91,505 | 154,547 | ||
| R | 55,366 | 69,703 | 140,674 | ||
| R | 57,377 | 63,821 | 148,224 | ||
| R | 49,801 | 72,932 | 123,115 | ||
| R | 38,891 | 79,457 | 118,348 | ||
| R | 42,756 | 62,863 | 110,201 | ||
| R | 47,529 | 52,077 | 100,462 | ||
| R | 27,773 | 68,277 | 96,050 | ||
| R | 27,199 | 47,755 | 83,989 | ||
| D | 41,936 | 36,118 | 78,054 | ||
| R | 28,708 | 54,544 | 83,252 | ||
| R | 29,636 | 45,013 | 74,649 | ||
| R | 27,234 | 47,536 | 74,914 | ||
| R | 30,323 | 32,267 | 62,692 | ||
| R | 24,797 | 38,251 | 63,168 | ||
| R | 32,323 | 40,176 | 72,663 | ||
| R | 33,211 | 33,981 | 67,385 | ||
| D | 31,541 | 25,190 | 57,555 | ||
| R | 17,602 | 37,886 | 55,630 | ||
| R | 21,432 | 25,763 | 51,133 | ||
| R | 18,808 | 31,182 | 51,210 | ||
| R | 13,203 | 15,676 | 29,967 | ||
| D | 10,336 | 9,793 | 26,576 | ||
| R | 11,641 | 14,490 | 27,335 | ||
| R | 9,489 | 14,741 | 25,712 | ||
| R | 11,963 | 14,022 | 26,769 | ||
| D | 14,277 | 13,487 | 27,907 | ||
| R | 7,774 | 10,879 | 23,024 | ||
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Demographics
Springfield's metro anchors Missouri's Bible Belt interior, delivering some of the state's widest Republican margins in federal races. Its large student population at Missouri State tempers turnout patterns without significantly shifting the partisan baseline.
The Democratic margin in Springfield, MO peaked at eleven points in 1932. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-five points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $66,064 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Springfield, MO, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/44180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.