Stockton-Lodi, CA, California: Tossup metro. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+58 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- TossupAkashic typology
- Population
- 797,3342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $92,1792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 42.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 126,647 | 128,996 | 264,916 | ||
| D | 161,137 | 121,098 | 289,781 | ||
| D | 121,124 | 88,936 | 227,002 | ||
| D | 114,121 | 86,071 | 205,364 | ||
| D | 113,974 | 91,607 | 210,308 | ||
| R | 87,012 | 100,978 | 189,864 | ||
| R | 79,776 | 81,773 | 167,239 | ||
| D | 67,253 | 65,131 | 145,140 | ||
| D | 63,655 | 58,355 | 154,210 | ||
| R | 61,699 | 75,309 | 138,453 | ||
| R | 53,846 | 81,795 | 137,213 | ||
| R | 41,551 | 64,718 | 116,863 | ||
| R | 48,733 | 50,277 | 101,361 | ||
| R | 44,062 | 61,646 | 111,469 | ||
| R | 42,073 | 47,293 | 98,589 | ||
| D | 59,210 | 36,546 | 95,839 | ||
| R | 42,855 | 48,441 | 91,657 | ||
| R | 36,941 | 44,491 | 81,600 | ||
| R | 34,510 | 44,033 | 79,107 | ||
| R | 27,908 | 29,135 | 59,361 | ||
| D | 27,074 | 24,357 | 51,588 | ||
| D | 26,536 | 23,403 | 50,498 | ||
| D | 29,078 | 10,172 | 39,723 | ||
| D | 21,929 | 11,145 | 34,626 | ||
| R | 10,343 | 16,695 | 27,326 | ||
| R | 2,397 | 11,056 | 22,607 | ||
| R | 6,487 | 12,003 | 19,698 | ||
| D | 11,454 | 7,861 | 20,661 | ||
| D | 7,969 | 0 | 13,739 | ||
| R | 3,331 | 4,470 | 8,564 | ||
| R | 2,293 | 4,498 | 7,296 | ||
| R | 2,873 | 3,318 | 6,379 | ||
| O | 3,500 | 3,500 | 7,167 | ||
| D | 3,106 | 2,958 | 7,029 | ||
| R | 2,822 | 2,829 | 5,981 | ||
| R | 2,898 | 3,079 | 6,119 | ||
| R | 2,409 | 2,568 | 4,985 | ||
| R | 1,850 | 2,270 | 4,120 |
Demographics
Stockton-Lodi anchors San Joaquin County, where a majority-minority electorate and persistent economic stress have made state and federal races more contested than most of coastal California.
The metro's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fifty-eight points in 1912; the Republican margin reached thirty-eight points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.
Its demographics — a population of 797,334, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $92,179 — situate the metro close to national averages on several dimensions.
Stockton-Lodi, CA, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/44700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.