akashic
1876–2024
Stockton-Lodi, CA·California

Stockton-Lodi, CA delivered R+1 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

Central Valley port city where Latino plurality shapes a competitive congressional map

18762024·38 elections
CA
Latest
R+1
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
797,334
2024 ACS

Stockton-Lodi, CA, California: Tossup metro. In 2024, voted R+1%. Democratic peak: D+58 in 1912.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+1MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
797,3342024 5-year
Median household income
$92,1792024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
31.9%2024 5-year
Black
6.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
42.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+58 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+38 in 1924MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−0.9%
126,647128,996264,916
D
+13.8%
161,137121,098289,781
D
+14.2%
121,12488,936227,002
D
+13.7%
114,12186,071205,364
D
+10.6%
113,97491,607210,308
R
−7.4%
87,012100,978189,864
R
−1.2%
79,77681,773167,239
D
+1.5%
67,25365,131145,140
D
+3.4%
63,65558,355154,210
R
−9.8%
61,69975,309138,453
R
−20.4%
53,84681,795137,213
R
−19.8%
41,55164,718116,863
R
−1.5%
48,73350,277101,361
R
−15.8%
44,06261,646111,469
R
−5.3%
42,07347,29398,589
D
+23.6%
59,21036,54695,839
R
−6.1%
42,85548,44191,657
R
−9.3%
36,94144,49181,600
R
−12.0%
34,51044,03379,107
R
−2.1%
27,90829,13559,361
D
+5.3%
27,07424,35751,588
D
+6.2%
26,53623,40350,498
D
+47.6%
29,07810,17239,723
D
+31.1%
21,92911,14534,626
R
−23.2%
10,34316,69527,326
R
−38.3%
2,39711,05622,607
R
−28.0%
6,48712,00319,698
D
+17.4%
11,4547,86120,661
D
+58.0%
7,969013,739
R
−13.3%
3,3314,4708,564
R
−30.2%
2,2934,4987,296
R
−7.0%
2,8733,3186,379
O
+0.0%
3,5003,5007,167
D
+2.1%
3,1062,9587,029
R
−0.1%
2,8222,8295,981
R
−3.0%
2,8983,0796,119
R
−3.2%
2,4092,5684,985
R
−10.2%
1,8502,2704,120

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
6.4%
English
5.1%
Irish
4.7%
Italian
3.7%
American
1.8%
French
0.9%
Scottish
0.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
57.0%
speak English only
Spanish27.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander9.2%
Other Indo-European5.8%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.7%
Other Christian
7.9%
Non-Christian
2.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.4%
Baptist
1.9%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Methodist
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stockton-Lodi anchors San Joaquin County, where a majority-minority electorate and persistent economic stress have made state and federal races more contested than most of coastal California.

The metro's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached fifty-eight points in 1912; the Republican margin reached thirty-eight points in 1924. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 797,334, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $92,179 — situate the metro close to national averages on several dimensions.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Stockton-Lodi, CA, California — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/44700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Stockton-Lodi, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Stockton-Lodi, CA, California voted Republican by 0.9 points (R+1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 264,916 votes cast, 126,647 went Democratic and 128,996 went Republican.
What is Stockton-Lodi, CA, California's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Stockton-Lodi, CA, California as a "Tossup" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 14 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did Stockton-Lodi, CA, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Stockton-Lodi, CA, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Stockton-Lodi, CA, California?
Stockton-Lodi, CA, California has a population of 797,334 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Stockton-Lodi, CA, California?
Median household income in Stockton-Lodi, CA, California is $92,179 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Stockton-Lodi, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Stockton-Lodi, CA, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.