Sumter, SC, South Carolina: Republican loyalist metro. In 2024, voted D+5%. Democratic peak: D+97 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Republican loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 104,7252024 5-year
- Median household income
- $56,6932024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 46.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+97 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1952MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 23,425 | 21,215 | 45,170 | ||
| D | 27,379 | 21,000 | 48,920 | ||
| D | 24,047 | 18,745 | 44,086 | ||
| D | 27,589 | 19,274 | 47,309 | ||
| D | 25,431 | 18,581 | 44,358 | ||
| D | 18,695 | 18,074 | 37,003 | ||
| R | 14,365 | 15,915 | 30,672 | ||
| D | 12,198 | 12,080 | 25,392 | ||
| R | 11,852 | 12,576 | 26,596 | ||
| R | 9,502 | 13,161 | 22,801 | ||
| R | 9,566 | 12,909 | 22,590 | ||
| R | 9,205 | 10,557 | 20,126 | ||
| D | 10,471 | 9,332 | 19,912 | ||
| R | 5,801 | 10,892 | 16,800 | ||
| D | 6,103 | 5,451 | 16,308 | ||
| R | 3,775 | 7,729 | 11,504 | ||
| R | 2,616 | 4,633 | 7,249 | ||
| O | 937 | 1,356 | 6,034 | ||
| R | 2,014 | 4,726 | 6,740 | ||
| O | 605 | 154 | 3,477 | ||
| D | 2,111 | 73 | 2,401 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 2,062 | 0 | 2,120 | ||
| D | 1,809 | 0 | 1,876 | ||
| D | 1,202 | 174 | 1,376 | ||
| D | 1,136 | 18 | 1,216 | ||
| D | 1,150 | 194 | 1,344 | ||
| D | 1,357 | 142 | 1,520 | ||
| D | 910 | 0 | 993 | ||
| D | 1,228 | 173 | 1,409 | ||
| D | 919 | 137 | 1,056 | ||
| D | 1,199 | 150 | 1,349 | ||
| D | 1,550 | 326 | 1,900 | ||
| D | 1,535 | 639 | 2,182 | ||
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Demographics
Shaw Air Force Base anchors Sumter's economy and demographic profile, drawing a transient population that can dampen long-term partisan entrenchment despite the surrounding Lowcountry counties leaning reliably in one direction by double-digit margins.
The Republican margin in Sumter, SC reached its widest at forty points in 1952. The margin in 2024 was five points, in line with the metro's deep historical pattern.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $56,693, a 45% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 104,725 together describe a metro whose political habits are deeply settled.
Sumter, SC, South Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/44940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.