Sunbury, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+36%. Republican peak: R+40 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 108,6632024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,3142024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 2016MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 16,725 | 36,184 | 53,582 | ||
| R | 16,448 | 34,796 | 52,054 | ||
| R | 12,645 | 30,715 | 45,463 | ||
| R | 16,125 | 24,170 | 41,215 | ||
| R | 17,693 | 23,592 | 41,962 | ||
| R | 17,268 | 27,165 | 44,758 | ||
| R | 16,026 | 22,102 | 39,749 | ||
| R | 15,601 | 16,336 | 38,211 | ||
| R | 14,964 | 18,153 | 42,438 | ||
| R | 16,286 | 23,824 | 40,496 | ||
| R | 15,803 | 26,283 | 42,413 | ||
| R | 16,022 | 24,007 | 42,386 | ||
| R | 21,666 | 22,542 | 44,951 | ||
| R | 15,640 | 30,298 | 46,683 | ||
| R | 19,252 | 25,655 | 47,875 | ||
| D | 31,765 | 19,573 | 51,458 | ||
| R | 24,862 | 31,722 | 56,632 | ||
| R | 19,213 | 32,559 | 51,816 | ||
| R | 20,053 | 32,586 | 52,765 | ||
| R | 18,442 | 26,225 | 45,155 | ||
| R | 22,545 | 24,722 | 47,397 | ||
| D | 29,395 | 25,637 | 55,175 | ||
| D | 35,383 | 24,108 | 60,232 | ||
| D | 25,791 | 20,141 | 47,444 | ||
| R | 20,694 | 34,641 | 55,640 | ||
| R | 9,370 | 20,015 | 35,653 | ||
| R | 11,726 | 19,584 | 33,852 | ||
| D | 10,863 | 9,790 | 22,047 | ||
| O | 8,294 | 2,679 | 21,949 | ||
| R | 10,080 | 11,603 | 22,836 | ||
| R | 7,294 | 12,737 | 20,932 | ||
| D | 9,864 | 9,658 | 20,190 | ||
| R | 9,114 | 10,043 | 20,001 | ||
| D | 8,819 | 7,278 | 16,807 | ||
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Demographics
Northumberland County anchors this compact metro, where a long deindustrialized core and surrounding agricultural townships produce a reliably wide Republican margin in statewide races.
The Democratic margin in Sunbury, PA peaked at twenty-six points in 1912. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-six points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $63,314 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Sunbury, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/44980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.