akashic
1876–2024
Tallahassee, FL·Florida

Tallahassee, FL delivered D+15 in 2024.

A state-capital metro where university enrollment shapes the electorate

1876 — 2024·38 elections
FL
Latest
D+15
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
391,730
2024 ACS

Tallahassee, FL, Florida: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted D+15%. Democratic peak: D+88 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
D+15MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
391,7302024 5-year
Median household income
$65,5502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
55.1%2024 5-year
Black
31.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
8.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+88 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+29 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
4 counties · 2 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
D
+14.7%
117,54487,137206,962
D
+21.8%
128,91882,271213,546
D
+20.3%
114,97774,991197,241
D
+20.8%
115,77175,533193,320
D
+21.5%
116,72875,190193,451
D
+22.4%
107,53367,943176,604
D
+20.6%
78,05950,833132,115
D
+19.1%
65,07942,531117,894
D
+16.9%
60,86840,050123,080
R
−4.4%
43,50447,53191,938
R
−7.8%
40,61347,46488,118
D
+11.3%
41,12132,28177,968
D
+13.9%
40,19030,21171,695
R
−28.9%
20,97238,04859,151
O
+8.3%
15,22011,33147,110
R
−13.6%
17,74023,34241,082
D
+11.0%
15,05112,06827,119
D
+12.0%
11,5599,08220,641
D
+21.2%
13,0498,47921,528
D
+42.7%
6,7311,75011,665
D
+70.9%
9,1681,55810,726
D
+79.8%
11,4251,28512,710
D
+86.6%
9,0026479,649
D
+88.1%
7,2694587,727
D
+54.9%
4,4611,2775,804
D
+76.7%
2,5262392,982
D
+66.5%
4,6188485,670
D
+65.6%
2,7834733,522
D
+71.6%
1,8292032,272
D
+57.5%
2,0654372,832
D
+70.3%
1,8243002,167
D
+66.1%
1,6433052,025
D
+71.9%
3,2074893,779
R
−5.1%
1,3781,5252,903
—
No data
———
R
−22.8%
3,0034,7737,776
—
No data
———
—
No data
———

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
10.9%
Irish
8.4%
German
8.1%
American
4.5%
Italian
3.5%
Scottish
1.9%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 34.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
0.9%
2.1%
75–84
2.7%
4.5%
65–74
5.2%
5.2%
55–64
5.8%
5.3%
45–54
5.5%
6.0%
35–44
6.0%
6.5%
25–34
6.7%
8.3%
18–24
9.7%
7.2%
5–17
6.9%
2.6%
<5
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$65,550
Tallahassee, FL ranks near the middle of US counties.
Tallahassee, FL$65,550
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.8%
Working age (18–64)19.1%
Seniors (65+)10.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
89.8%
speak English only
Spanish5.5%
Other Indo-European2.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
16.4%
Baptist
12.6%
Methodist
7.9%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Non-Christian
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to Florida State, FAMU, and the state legislature, Tallahassee's Leon County votes markedly more Democratic than surrounding rural counties, making it a consistent blue enclave in Florida's otherwise competitive northern tier.

The Democratic margin in Tallahassee, FL has rarely exceeded eighty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded twenty-nine points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Democratic candidate by fifteen points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 55% non-Hispanic-white share, a 19% poverty rate, and a median household income of $65,550 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tallahassee, FL, Florida — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/45220/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Tallahassee, FL, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tallahassee, FL, Florida voted Democratic by 14.7 points (D+15), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 206,962 votes cast, 117,544 went Democratic and 87,137 went Republican.
What is Tallahassee, FL, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Tallahassee, FL, Florida as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 28 times, Republican 6 times, and other 1 times.
When did Tallahassee, FL, Florida last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Tallahassee, FL, Florida voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Tallahassee, FL, Florida?
Tallahassee, FL, Florida has a population of 391,730 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tallahassee, FL, Florida?
Median household income in Tallahassee, FL, Florida is $65,550 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Tallahassee, FL, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tallahassee, FL, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 28 went Democratic and 6 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.