Topeka, KS, Kansas: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+10%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 232,4682024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,4832024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+14 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 47,990 | 59,565 | 110,420 | ||
| R | 51,190 | 59,844 | 113,960 | ||
| R | 40,485 | 52,284 | 101,557 | ||
| R | 45,039 | 52,819 | 100,255 | ||
| R | 50,655 | 57,722 | 110,445 | ||
| R | 45,119 | 60,657 | 107,325 | ||
| R | 43,363 | 49,270 | 97,533 | ||
| R | 41,011 | 46,679 | 99,321 | ||
| D | 39,297 | 37,698 | 106,411 | ||
| R | 43,017 | 47,086 | 91,166 | ||
| R | 32,872 | 58,019 | 91,904 | ||
| R | 31,106 | 49,619 | 88,750 | ||
| R | 37,286 | 47,917 | 87,353 | ||
| R | 24,995 | 57,303 | 84,170 | ||
| R | 26,674 | 41,735 | 77,882 | ||
| D | 38,687 | 34,970 | 74,058 | ||
| R | 28,224 | 46,666 | 75,103 | ||
| R | 21,971 | 46,579 | 68,752 | ||
| R | 23,192 | 49,113 | 72,604 | ||
| R | 28,135 | 35,736 | 64,933 | ||
| R | 20,905 | 35,511 | 56,717 | ||
| R | 28,382 | 40,990 | 69,745 | ||
| D | 35,771 | 34,217 | 70,234 | ||
| R | 29,762 | 32,103 | 63,238 | ||
| R | 13,883 | 43,343 | 57,589 | ||
| R | 10,521 | 36,644 | 52,141 | ||
| R | 13,510 | 29,396 | 43,584 | ||
| R | 21,283 | 25,669 | 48,673 | ||
| D | 11,293 | 7,407 | 28,690 | ||
| R | 12,250 | 16,545 | 29,638 | ||
| R | 6,763 | 19,210 | 27,530 | ||
| R | 12,696 | 17,253 | 30,343 | ||
| R | 14,690 | 15,927 | 30,922 | ||
| O | 0 | 12,463 | 27,462 | ||
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Demographics
Shawnee County, the metro's core, has shifted between parties in statewide races by single digits over recent cycles, making Topeka a reliable bellwether for Kansas contests that drift from their deeply red baseline.
The Democratic margin in Topeka, KS peaked at fourteen points in 1912. By 1996 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was ten points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,483 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Topeka, KS, Kansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/45820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.