akashic
1876–2024
Topeka, KS·Kansas

Topeka, KS was solidly Democratic for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Kansas's capital anchors a metro that swings closer than its rural surroundings

18762024·38 elections
KS
Latest
R+10
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
232,468
2024 ACS

Topeka, KS, Kansas: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+10%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1928.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+10MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
PopulistAkashic typology
Population
232,4682024 5-year
Median household income
$69,4832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
78.3%2024 5-year
Black
5.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
11.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+14 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+51 in 1928MIT Election Lab
5 counties · 1 D · 4 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−10.5%
47,99059,565110,420
R
−7.6%
51,19059,844113,960
R
−11.6%
40,48552,284101,557
R
−7.8%
45,03952,819100,255
R
−6.4%
50,65557,722110,445
R
−14.5%
45,11960,657107,325
R
−6.1%
43,36349,27097,533
R
−5.7%
41,01146,67999,321
D
+1.5%
39,29737,698106,411
R
−4.5%
43,01747,08691,166
R
−27.4%
32,87258,01991,904
R
−20.9%
31,10649,61988,750
R
−12.2%
37,28647,91787,353
R
−38.4%
24,99557,30384,170
R
−19.3%
26,67441,73577,882
D
+5.0%
38,68734,97074,058
R
−24.6%
28,22446,66675,103
R
−35.8%
21,97146,57968,752
R
−35.7%
23,19249,11372,604
R
−11.7%
28,13535,73664,933
R
−25.8%
20,90535,51156,717
R
−18.1%
28,38240,99069,745
D
+2.2%
35,77134,21770,234
R
−3.7%
29,76232,10363,238
R
−51.2%
13,88343,34357,589
R
−50.1%
10,52136,64452,141
R
−36.4%
13,51029,39643,584
R
−9.0%
21,28325,66948,673
D
+13.5%
11,2937,40728,690
R
−14.5%
12,25016,54529,638
R
−45.2%
6,76319,21027,530
R
−15.0%
12,69617,25330,343
R
−4.0%
14,69015,92730,922
O
−45.4%
012,46327,462
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
23.4%
English
16.9%
Irish
11.7%
American
5.1%
Italian
1.9%
Scottish
1.8%
French
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.9%
speak English only
Spanish4.5%
Other Indo-European0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
11.0%
Other Christian
10.5%
Methodist
5.8%
Mainline Protestant
5.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.0%
Baptist
3.6%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Shawnee County, the metro's core, has shifted between parties in statewide races by single digits over recent cycles, making Topeka a reliable bellwether for Kansas contests that drift from their deeply red baseline.

The Democratic margin in Topeka, KS peaked at fourteen points in 1912. By 1996 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was ten points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.

The economic context is the key. The median household income of $69,483 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Topeka, KS, Kansas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/45820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Topeka, KS, Kansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Topeka, KS, Kansas voted Republican by 10.5 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 110,420 votes cast, 47,990 went Democratic and 59,565 went Republican.
What is Topeka, KS, Kansas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Topeka, KS, Kansas as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 29 times, and other 1 times.
When did Topeka, KS, Kansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Topeka, KS, Kansas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Topeka, KS, Kansas?
Topeka, KS, Kansas has a population of 232,468 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Topeka, KS, Kansas?
Median household income in Topeka, KS, Kansas is $69,483 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kansas state median is $74,275.
What is the political history of Topeka, KS, Kansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Topeka, KS, Kansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.