akashic
1876–2024
Tullahoma-Manchester, TN·Tennessee

Tullahoma-Manchester, TN changed its political identity in living memory.

A mid-size Tennessee market where defense and aerospace employment anchor the economy

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TN
Latest
R+57
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
66,384
2024 ACS

Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+57%. Democratic peak: D+71 in 1940.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+57MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
66,3842024 5-year
Median household income
$62,0042024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
87.6%2024 5-year
Black
4.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+71 in 1940MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+57 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−56.9%
5,98222,23428,586
R
−52.1%
6,27820,77127,821
R
−50.2%
5,23916,74222,897
R
−38.5%
6,57515,07622,058
R
−30.5%
8,01315,26023,742
R
−18.0%
9,32713,46122,941
R
−0.4%
9,8489,93320,089
D
+5.5%
8,8867,88418,281
D
+15.5%
9,6856,70819,189
R
−14.6%
6,4178,62315,145
R
−13.6%
6,4998,55815,148
D
+17.3%
8,6056,00514,988
D
+36.7%
9,1184,17913,453
R
−34.6%
3,3297,02410,691
O
−1.4%
3,3863,56112,597
D
+41.2%
7,8713,27611,147
D
+23.1%
5,4183,3718,873
D
+37.1%
5,8232,6598,536
D
+27.7%
4,3632,4646,845
D
+42.0%
2,5647014,432
D
+65.7%
3,4457114,159
D
+70.8%
3,1465303,694
D
+69.5%
2,8675093,395
D
+70.0%
2,8734953,396
D
+12.0%
1,6061,2592,882
D
+59.6%
2,1835292,776
D
+47.2%
2,5409123,452
D
+63.7%
2,5595603,139
D
+56.1%
2,3996373,139
D
+50.2%
2,3317593,130
D
+55.7%
2,2986312,995
D
+55.1%
2,4986903,280
D
+57.8%
2,8337173,661
D
+51.2%
2,1324763,234
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
15.3%
English
14.4%
Irish
11.1%
German
8.4%
Scottish
2.0%
Italian
1.6%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.9%
85+
1.2%
2.3%
75–84
3.2%
5.0%
65–74
5.5%
6.5%
55–64
7.0%
5.9%
45–54
6.2%
5.9%
35–44
6.0%
6.5%
25–34
6.2%
4.1%
18–24
3.7%
8.9%
5–17
8.6%
3.0%
<5
3.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,004
Tullahoma-Manchester, TN ranks near the middle of US counties.
Tullahoma-Manchester, TN$62,004
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.5%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1821.4%
Working age (18–64)14.9%
Seniors (65+)13.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.0%
speak English only
Spanish3.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
19.2%
Other Christian
12.7%
Methodist
7.2%
Mainline Protestant
3.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
2.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.2%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to Arnold Air Force Base and the National Aerospace Solutions contract workforce, the Tullahoma-Manchester metro leans heavily Republican in federal contests while its industrial base draws a steady blue-collar workforce from Coffee and Franklin counties.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Tullahoma-Manchester, TN peaked at seventy-one points in 1940; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of zero points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $62,004 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 17% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/46100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 56.9 points (R+57), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 28,586 votes cast, 5,982 went Democratic and 22,234 went Republican.
What is Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 23 times, Republican 10 times, and other 1 times.
When did Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee?
Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee has a population of 66,384 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee is $62,004 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tullahoma-Manchester, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 23 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.