Tulsa, OK, Oklahoma: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+29%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,037,5342024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,6482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 143,425 | 263,677 | 415,511 | ||
| R | 145,348 | 263,120 | 418,710 | ||
| R | 119,639 | 246,001 | 387,325 | ||
| R | 120,760 | 235,706 | 356,466 | ||
| R | 139,785 | 253,154 | 392,939 | ||
| R | 139,223 | 250,599 | 389,822 | ||
| R | 127,627 | 195,747 | 327,912 | ||
| R | 121,451 | 156,012 | 309,451 | ||
| R | 112,854 | 162,180 | 353,443 | ||
| R | 113,526 | 178,139 | 293,535 | ||
| R | 92,663 | 226,717 | 321,075 | ||
| R | 87,354 | 175,540 | 275,928 | ||
| R | 105,871 | 144,342 | 253,275 | ||
| R | 49,945 | 176,214 | 231,234 | ||
| R | 54,098 | 108,873 | 206,855 | ||
| R | 100,705 | 102,844 | 203,549 | ||
| R | 79,506 | 125,434 | 204,940 | ||
| R | 72,465 | 116,927 | 189,392 | ||
| R | 81,445 | 109,736 | 191,181 | ||
| D | 75,676 | 65,909 | 141,585 | ||
| R | 66,403 | 71,715 | 138,312 | ||
| R | 74,518 | 75,649 | 150,568 | ||
| D | 87,245 | 54,107 | 142,027 | ||
| D | 84,775 | 47,528 | 132,303 | ||
| R | 38,440 | 81,419 | 120,413 | ||
| R | 42,605 | 47,755 | 95,202 | ||
| R | 29,518 | 39,491 | 71,837 | ||
| D | 16,882 | 13,641 | 35,349 | ||
| D | 11,412 | 9,929 | 25,148 | ||
| R | 10,634 | 11,636 | 23,917 | ||
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Demographics
Tulsa's metropolitan electorate has trended reliably Republican at the federal level for decades, but its urban core shows measurable Democratic concentration, with Native American voters—among the highest-share of any major metro—adding a distinct demographic layer to countywide margins.
The Democratic margin in Tulsa, OK has rarely exceeded twenty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-five points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by twenty-nine points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 64% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $69,648 — all within the broad national range.
Tulsa, OK, Oklahoma — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/46140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.