Tyler, TX, Texas: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+45%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+45MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 241,7402024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,1922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 20.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 28,041 | 74,862 | 104,186 | ||
| R | 29,615 | 69,080 | 100,334 | ||
| R | 22,300 | 58,930 | 84,768 | ||
| R | 21,456 | 57,331 | 79,601 | ||
| R | 23,726 | 55,187 | 79,561 | ||
| R | 19,970 | 53,392 | 73,664 | ||
| R | 16,470 | 43,320 | 60,624 | ||
| R | 18,265 | 32,171 | 53,643 | ||
| R | 17,514 | 27,753 | 59,006 | ||
| R | 18,719 | 34,658 | 53,592 | ||
| R | 15,227 | 40,740 | 56,119 | ||
| R | 14,838 | 28,236 | 43,700 | ||
| R | 16,856 | 22,238 | 39,275 | ||
| R | 8,041 | 23,671 | 31,827 | ||
| R | 8,897 | 12,079 | 30,571 | ||
| R | 12,474 | 12,960 | 25,472 | ||
| R | 8,494 | 12,042 | 20,821 | ||
| R | 6,468 | 12,255 | 18,792 | ||
| R | 8,450 | 10,947 | 19,410 | ||
| D | 6,473 | 3,181 | 11,309 | ||
| D | 6,671 | 936 | 9,538 | ||
| D | 9,410 | 1,557 | 10,975 | ||
| D | 7,116 | 660 | 7,788 | ||
| D | 7,424 | 750 | 8,201 | ||
| R | 2,343 | 3,493 | 5,836 | ||
| D | 4,473 | 1,079 | 5,723 | ||
| D | 2,965 | 707 | 4,676 | ||
| D | 2,422 | 773 | 3,481 | ||
| D | 1,936 | 485 | 3,249 | ||
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Demographics
Tyler anchors Smith County, where petroleum industry employment and a large evangelical Christian population have produced Republican presidential margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, even as modest demographic diversification continues.
The shift began with civil rights. 1952 marked the realignment in Tyler, TX, by a thirteen points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-nine points in 1972. The 2024 margin was forty-five points.
The political shift has tracked, in Tyler, TX, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $74,192, and a 12% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Tyler, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/46340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.