akashic
1876–2024
Tyler, TX·Texas

Tyler, TX voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 45 points.

East Texas's oil-and-roses hub swings reliably Republican by wide margins

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+45
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
241,740
2024 ACS

Tyler, TX, Texas: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+45%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1936.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+45MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
241,7402024 5-year
Median household income
$74,1922024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
66.5%2024 5-year
Black
16.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
20.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+83 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 1972MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−44.9%
28,04174,862104,186
R
−39.3%
29,61569,080100,334
R
−43.2%
22,30058,93084,768
R
−45.1%
21,45657,33179,601
R
−39.5%
23,72655,18779,561
R
−45.4%
19,97053,39273,664
R
−44.3%
16,47043,32060,624
R
−25.9%
18,26532,17153,643
R
−17.4%
17,51427,75359,006
R
−29.7%
18,71934,65853,592
R
−45.5%
15,22740,74056,119
R
−30.7%
14,83828,23643,700
R
−13.7%
16,85622,23839,275
R
−49.1%
8,04123,67131,827
R
−10.4%
8,89712,07930,571
R
−1.9%
12,47412,96025,472
R
−17.0%
8,49412,04220,821
R
−30.8%
6,46812,25518,792
R
−12.9%
8,45010,94719,410
D
+29.1%
6,4733,18111,309
D
+60.1%
6,6719369,538
D
+71.6%
9,4101,55710,975
D
+82.9%
7,1166607,788
D
+81.4%
7,4247508,201
R
−19.7%
2,3433,4935,836
D
+59.3%
4,4731,0795,723
D
+48.3%
2,9657074,676
D
+47.4%
2,4227733,481
D
+44.7%
1,9364853,249
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
17.1%
English
11.8%
German
8.2%
Irish
7.4%
Scottish
1.8%
Italian
1.7%
French
1.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
81.7%
speak English only
Spanish16.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.1%
Other Indo-European0.7%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
25.7%
Other Christian
14.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
9.7%
Methodist
4.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.2%
Mainline Protestant
1.9%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 38.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Tyler anchors Smith County, where petroleum industry employment and a large evangelical Christian population have produced Republican presidential margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, even as modest demographic diversification continues.

The shift began with civil rights. 1952 marked the realignment in Tyler, TX, by a thirteen points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-nine points in 1972. The 2024 margin was forty-five points.

The political shift has tracked, in Tyler, TX, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $74,192, and a 12% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tyler, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/46340/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Tyler, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tyler, TX, Texas voted Republican by 44.9 points (R+45), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 104,186 votes cast, 28,041 went Democratic and 74,862 went Republican.
What is Tyler, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Tyler, TX, Texas as a "Old Confederacy" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 20 times, and other 0 times.
When did Tyler, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tyler, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Tyler, TX, Texas?
Tyler, TX, Texas has a population of 241,740 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tyler, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Tyler, TX, Texas is $74,192 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Tyler, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tyler, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 20 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.