akashic
1876–2024
Uvalde, TX·Texas

Uvalde, TX voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 33 points.

Small South Texas hub where Latino-majority turnout shapes county margins

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+33
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
24,881
2024 ACS

Uvalde, TX, Texas: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+33%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1916.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+33MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
24,8812024 5-year
Median household income
$53,8012024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
58.7%2024 5-year
Black
0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
70.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+76 in 1916MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+46 in 1972MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−33.4%
3,2186,4829,772
R
−20.3%
4,0736,17410,344
R
−10.8%
3,8674,8358,964
R
−8.3%
3,8254,5298,435
R
−5.3%
4,1264,5908,766
R
−21.8%
3,2985,1488,483
R
−16.9%
3,4364,8558,420
R
−1.3%
3,3973,4947,333
R
−1.8%
3,4823,6358,543
R
−7.3%
3,6844,2668,001
R
−31.7%
2,4824,7907,287
R
−23.3%
2,4023,8876,366
R
−14.8%
2,2993,1035,449
R
−45.9%
1,4383,8835,327
R
−10.8%
1,7362,2524,759
D
+9.1%
2,3581,9634,326
R
−25.1%
1,3242,2143,552
R
−42.0%
9942,4493,463
R
−38.9%
1,2302,8054,044
D
+26.9%
1,5508662,545
D
+19.8%
1,3228562,356
D
+54.0%
1,8715562,433
D
+66.2%
1,7433542,098
D
+61.2%
1,7594222,186
R
−24.2%
7471,2241,971
D
+56.0%
1,3123511,715
D
+49.6%
7432371,021
D
+76.3%
72892834
D
+70.8%
60153774
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
6.6%
English
5.5%
Irish
4.8%
American
2.5%
French
2.0%
Italian
1.6%
Scottish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
50.1%
speak English only
Spanish48.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.6%
Other Indo-European0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.5%
Other Christian
13.0%
Baptist
12.5%
Methodist
6.0%
Mainline Protestant
2.8%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Non-Christian
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 42.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Uvalde anchors a sparse ranching and agribusiness region where Hispanic residents make up roughly 80% of the population, and shifts in their turnout rates have historically determined how wide the county's margins run in statewide races.

The shift began with civil rights. 1968 marked the realignment in Uvalde, TX, by a eleven points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-six points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-three points.

The political shift has tracked, in Uvalde, TX, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $53,801, and a 22% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Uvalde, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/46620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Uvalde, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Uvalde, TX, Texas voted Republican by 33.4 points (R+33), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,772 votes cast, 3,218 went Democratic and 6,482 went Republican.
What is Uvalde, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Uvalde, TX, Texas as a "Old Confederacy" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Uvalde, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Uvalde, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Uvalde, TX, Texas?
Uvalde, TX, Texas has a population of 24,881 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Uvalde, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Uvalde, TX, Texas is $53,801 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Uvalde, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Uvalde, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.