Uvalde, TX, Texas: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+33%. Democratic peak: D+76 in 1916.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+33MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 24,8812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,8012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 70.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,218 | 6,482 | 9,772 | ||
| R | 4,073 | 6,174 | 10,344 | ||
| R | 3,867 | 4,835 | 8,964 | ||
| R | 3,825 | 4,529 | 8,435 | ||
| R | 4,126 | 4,590 | 8,766 | ||
| R | 3,298 | 5,148 | 8,483 | ||
| R | 3,436 | 4,855 | 8,420 | ||
| R | 3,397 | 3,494 | 7,333 | ||
| R | 3,482 | 3,635 | 8,543 | ||
| R | 3,684 | 4,266 | 8,001 | ||
| R | 2,482 | 4,790 | 7,287 | ||
| R | 2,402 | 3,887 | 6,366 | ||
| R | 2,299 | 3,103 | 5,449 | ||
| R | 1,438 | 3,883 | 5,327 | ||
| R | 1,736 | 2,252 | 4,759 | ||
| D | 2,358 | 1,963 | 4,326 | ||
| R | 1,324 | 2,214 | 3,552 | ||
| R | 994 | 2,449 | 3,463 | ||
| R | 1,230 | 2,805 | 4,044 | ||
| D | 1,550 | 866 | 2,545 | ||
| D | 1,322 | 856 | 2,356 | ||
| D | 1,871 | 556 | 2,433 | ||
| D | 1,743 | 354 | 2,098 | ||
| D | 1,759 | 422 | 2,186 | ||
| R | 747 | 1,224 | 1,971 | ||
| D | 1,312 | 351 | 1,715 | ||
| D | 743 | 237 | 1,021 | ||
| D | 728 | 92 | 834 | ||
| D | 601 | 53 | 774 | ||
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Demographics
Uvalde anchors a sparse ranching and agribusiness region where Hispanic residents make up roughly 80% of the population, and shifts in their turnout rates have historically determined how wide the county's margins run in statewide races.
The shift began with civil rights. 1968 marked the realignment in Uvalde, TX, by a eleven points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-six points in 1972. The 2024 margin was thirty-three points.
The political shift has tracked, in Uvalde, TX, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 59% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $53,801, and a 22% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Uvalde, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/46620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.