Vernal, UT, Utah: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+74%. Republican peak: R+81 in 2012.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+74MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 37,0562024 5-year
- Median household income
- $73,7462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+78 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81 in 2012MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,952 | 13,599 | 15,832 | ||
| R | 1,663 | 13,261 | 15,370 | ||
| R | 995 | 9,810 | 12,864 | ||
| R | 997 | 10,421 | 11,611 | ||
| R | 1,462 | 8,441 | 10,151 | ||
| R | 1,266 | 8,518 | 9,957 | ||
| R | 1,387 | 6,733 | 8,397 | ||
| R | 1,714 | 4,743 | 7,464 | ||
| R | 1,374 | 3,505 | 7,774 | ||
| R | 1,799 | 5,341 | 7,218 | ||
| R | 1,186 | 7,337 | 8,574 | ||
| R | 1,049 | 6,045 | 7,332 | ||
| R | 1,342 | 4,017 | 5,807 | ||
| R | 716 | 4,712 | 5,868 | ||
| R | 1,145 | 3,034 | 4,622 | ||
| R | 2,142 | 2,437 | 4,579 | ||
| R | 1,380 | 2,882 | 4,262 | ||
| R | 820 | 2,840 | 3,660 | ||
| R | 1,136 | 2,806 | 3,942 | ||
| D | 1,622 | 1,513 | 3,153 | ||
| D | 1,519 | 1,479 | 3,000 | ||
| D | 1,773 | 1,624 | 3,399 | ||
| D | 1,986 | 1,193 | 3,258 | ||
| D | 1,778 | 1,355 | 3,190 | ||
| R | 880 | 1,589 | 2,483 | ||
| R | 716 | 1,296 | 2,128 | ||
| R | 817 | 1,354 | 2,239 | ||
| D | 1,459 | 712 | 2,276 | ||
| O | 566 | 545 | 1,919 | ||
| R | 683 | 778 | 1,606 | ||
| R | 630 | 753 | 1,494 | ||
| D | 773 | 639 | 1,416 | ||
| D | 890 | 112 | 1,002 | ||
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Demographics
Vernal anchors Utah's energy-extraction economy, and its Uinta County core has delivered Republican presidential margins above 80% in recent cycles, reflecting the region's dependence on oil, gas, and mining employment.
The Democratic margin in Vernal, UT peaked at seventy-eight points in 1896. By 1952 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was seventy-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $73,746 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Vernal, UT, Utah — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/46860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.