akashic
1876–2024
Victoria, TX·Texas

Victoria, TX voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 44 points.

One of the Gulf Coast's most reliably right-leaning metro areas

18762024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+44
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
98,554
2024 ACS

Victoria, TX, Texas: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+44%. Democratic peak: D+84 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+44MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
98,5542024 5-year
Median household income
$70,0602024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
57.8%2024 5-year
Black
5.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
47.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+84 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+45 in 1972MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−44.3%
10,77628,18839,292
R
−39.7%
11,25726,44338,221
R
−40.1%
9,83923,89535,032
R
−37.3%
9,92921,98632,311
R
−32.8%
11,16122,17633,586
R
−40.4%
9,77223,14233,103
R
−37.3%
9,40920,89530,800
R
−24.0%
9,37315,79226,754
R
−19.6%
8,67314,32228,868
R
−22.9%
10,28116,48327,045
R
−44.0%
7,87320,32728,322
R
−25.9%
8,46314,56223,556
R
−11.9%
8,20110,44018,759
R
−44.6%
4,69012,26416,982
R
−2.0%
6,7327,05916,283
D
+31.5%
9,1314,75013,908
D
+9.8%
6,4905,33211,852
R
−28.4%
3,6186,49810,151
R
−20.0%
3,5805,3718,956
D
+23.2%
2,8891,7125,077
D
+28.4%
2,9721,5455,032
D
+37.2%
3,3611,5364,904
D
+65.6%
3,2656753,946
D
+84.4%
4,3193604,690
D
+28.3%
2,1781,2173,397
D
+39.7%
2,3868973,751
R
−5.3%
1,1341,2953,042
D
+18.2%
1,5021,0242,631
D
+31.7%
1,1875252,086
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
15.0%
English
7.8%
Irish
6.2%
American
3.1%
Italian
1.4%
French
1.4%
Polish
1.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.0%
speak English only
Spanish21.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
25.5%
Baptist
12.2%
Other Christian
10.2%
Mainline Protestant
3.7%
Methodist
2.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 45.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Victoria's metro, anchored by its industrial port economy and a majority-Hispanic population that trends more conservative than national averages suggest, delivered a 44-point Republican margin in 2024 — among the widest of any Texas metro.

The shift began with civil rights. 1968 marked the realignment in Victoria, TX, by a two points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-five points in 1972. The 2024 margin was forty-four points.

The political shift has tracked, in Victoria, TX, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,060, and a 16% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Victoria, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/47020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Victoria, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Victoria, TX, Texas voted Republican by 44.3 points (R+44), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 39,292 votes cast, 10,776 went Democratic and 28,188 went Republican.
What is Victoria, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Victoria, TX, Texas as a "Old Confederacy" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 11 times, Republican 18 times, and other 0 times.
When did Victoria, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Victoria, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Victoria, TX, Texas?
Victoria, TX, Texas has a population of 98,554 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Victoria, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Victoria, TX, Texas is $70,060 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Victoria, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Victoria, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 18 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.