Victoria, TX, Texas: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+44%. Democratic peak: D+84 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+44MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 98,5542024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,0602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 47.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 10,776 | 28,188 | 39,292 | ||
| R | 11,257 | 26,443 | 38,221 | ||
| R | 9,839 | 23,895 | 35,032 | ||
| R | 9,929 | 21,986 | 32,311 | ||
| R | 11,161 | 22,176 | 33,586 | ||
| R | 9,772 | 23,142 | 33,103 | ||
| R | 9,409 | 20,895 | 30,800 | ||
| R | 9,373 | 15,792 | 26,754 | ||
| R | 8,673 | 14,322 | 28,868 | ||
| R | 10,281 | 16,483 | 27,045 | ||
| R | 7,873 | 20,327 | 28,322 | ||
| R | 8,463 | 14,562 | 23,556 | ||
| R | 8,201 | 10,440 | 18,759 | ||
| R | 4,690 | 12,264 | 16,982 | ||
| R | 6,732 | 7,059 | 16,283 | ||
| D | 9,131 | 4,750 | 13,908 | ||
| D | 6,490 | 5,332 | 11,852 | ||
| R | 3,618 | 6,498 | 10,151 | ||
| R | 3,580 | 5,371 | 8,956 | ||
| D | 2,889 | 1,712 | 5,077 | ||
| D | 2,972 | 1,545 | 5,032 | ||
| D | 3,361 | 1,536 | 4,904 | ||
| D | 3,265 | 675 | 3,946 | ||
| D | 4,319 | 360 | 4,690 | ||
| D | 2,178 | 1,217 | 3,397 | ||
| D | 2,386 | 897 | 3,751 | ||
| R | 1,134 | 1,295 | 3,042 | ||
| D | 1,502 | 1,024 | 2,631 | ||
| D | 1,187 | 525 | 2,086 | ||
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Demographics
Victoria's metro, anchored by its industrial port economy and a majority-Hispanic population that trends more conservative than national averages suggest, delivered a 44-point Republican margin in 2024 — among the widest of any Texas metro.
The shift began with civil rights. 1968 marked the realignment in Victoria, TX, by a two points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-five points in 1972. The 2024 margin was forty-four points.
The political shift has tracked, in Victoria, TX, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $70,060, and a 16% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Victoria, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/47020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.