Vineland, NJ, New Jersey: Republican loyalist metro. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+56 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Republican loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 153,3052024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,4362024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 46.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 35.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+45 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56 in 1928MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 26,577 | 28,675 | 55,952 | ||
| D | 32,742 | 28,952 | 62,091 | ||
| D | 27,771 | 24,453 | 54,331 | ||
| D | 34,055 | 20,658 | 55,369 | ||
| D | 34,919 | 22,360 | 58,065 | ||
| D | 27,875 | 24,362 | 53,185 | ||
| D | 28,188 | 18,882 | 48,684 | ||
| D | 25,444 | 14,744 | 46,533 | ||
| D | 22,220 | 19,253 | 52,116 | ||
| R | 21,869 | 26,024 | 48,349 | ||
| R | 21,141 | 29,398 | 51,155 | ||
| R | 19,356 | 23,242 | 46,403 | ||
| D | 29,165 | 20,535 | 50,287 | ||
| R | 18,692 | 26,409 | 45,392 | ||
| D | 21,661 | 18,388 | 45,488 | ||
| D | 33,593 | 12,611 | 46,215 | ||
| D | 23,199 | 21,283 | 44,512 | ||
| R | 17,309 | 24,067 | 41,444 | ||
| R | 18,929 | 21,819 | 40,859 | ||
| R | 15,195 | 16,556 | 32,313 | ||
| D | 15,674 | 14,477 | 30,218 | ||
| D | 19,251 | 16,322 | 35,680 | ||
| D | 20,492 | 14,500 | 35,292 | ||
| R | 12,371 | 16,668 | 29,971 | ||
| R | 6,694 | 23,921 | 30,699 | ||
| R | 4,780 | 15,691 | 22,084 | ||
| R | 4,487 | 11,913 | 17,427 | ||
| R | 4,573 | 5,692 | 10,917 | ||
| O | 3,858 | 1,895 | 10,424 | ||
| R | 4,521 | 6,770 | 11,970 | ||
| R | 3,317 | 7,402 | 11,485 | ||
| R | 4,036 | 6,780 | 11,562 | ||
| R | 3,877 | 7,018 | 11,488 | ||
| R | 4,732 | 5,517 | 11,063 | ||
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Demographics
Vineland anchors Cumberland County, one of New Jersey's most rural and economically challenged metros, where a rapidly expanding Hispanic population — now approaching majority share — has made it a closely watched bellwether for Latinx political mobilization in the region.
The Republican margin in Vineland, NJ reached its widest at fifty-six points in 1928. The margin in 2024 was four points, in line with the metro's deep historical pattern.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $67,436, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 153,305 together describe a metro whose political habits are deeply settled.
Vineland, NJ, New Jersey — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/47220/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.