Waco, TX, Texas: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+35%. Democratic peak: D+84 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 302,0452024 5-year
- Median household income
- $66,2462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Waco, TX, TXOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 37,100 | 77,095 | 115,535 | ||
| R | 40,148 | 71,189 | 113,145 | ||
| R | 30,025 | 58,040 | 92,190 | ||
| R | 29,094 | 57,144 | 87,331 | ||
| R | 34,020 | 58,134 | 92,919 | ||
| R | 31,002 | 61,281 | 92,742 | ||
| R | 27,809 | 51,939 | 81,274 | ||
| R | 32,733 | 35,766 | 75,121 | ||
| R | 30,837 | 32,599 | 82,278 | ||
| R | 33,092 | 44,408 | 77,807 | ||
| R | 28,086 | 49,288 | 77,547 | ||
| R | 32,064 | 37,482 | 70,959 | ||
| D | 37,322 | 29,543 | 67,420 | ||
| R | 18,786 | 39,341 | 58,318 | ||
| D | 27,195 | 18,680 | 56,259 | ||
| D | 35,052 | 13,132 | 48,218 | ||
| D | 25,351 | 18,138 | 43,646 | ||
| D | 20,525 | 19,034 | 39,691 | ||
| D | 22,478 | 18,918 | 41,464 | ||
| D | 21,722 | 4,135 | 27,331 | ||
| D | 21,029 | 2,549 | 26,185 | ||
| D | 22,984 | 3,731 | 26,753 | ||
| D | 18,183 | 1,606 | 19,953 | ||
| D | 19,082 | 1,561 | 20,758 | ||
| D | 9,049 | 8,147 | 17,220 | ||
| D | 13,223 | 3,235 | 17,184 | ||
| D | 8,409 | 2,807 | 14,236 | ||
| D | 8,577 | 1,848 | 10,885 | ||
| D | 6,709 | 712 | 8,493 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.0%
English
10.0%
Irish
8.5%
American
4.2%
Italian
1.9%
Scottish
1.6%
French
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 35.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$66,246
Waco, TX ranks near the middle of US counties.
Waco, TX$66,246
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
16.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.5%
Working age (18–64)15.1%
Seniors (65+)11.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
81.0%
speak English only
Spanish16.7%
Other Indo-European1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
The Waco metro has long leaned conservative in federal contests, but steady in-migration tied to Baylor University and light manufacturing diversification is gradually reshaping its voter age and educational profile.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Waco, TX peaked at eighty-four points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1980 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of eight points. By 2024, the margin had settled into deep Republican territory.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $66,246 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Waco, TX, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/47380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Waco, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Waco, TX, Texas voted Republican by 34.6 points (R+35), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 115,535 votes cast, 37,100 went Democratic and 77,095 went Republican.
What is Waco, TX, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Waco, TX, Texas as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 16 times, Republican 13 times, and other 0 times.
When did Waco, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Waco, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Waco, TX, Texas?
Waco, TX, Texas has a population of 302,045 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Waco, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Waco, TX, Texas is $66,246 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Waco, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Waco, TX, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.