Warren, PA, Pennsylvania: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+39%. Republican peak: R+61 in 1928.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 37,9202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,4802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Warren, PA, PAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 6,212 | 14,345 | 20,792 | ||
| R | 6,066 | 14,237 | 20,650 | ||
| R | 5,145 | 12,477 | 18,606 | ||
| R | 6,995 | 10,010 | 17,299 | ||
| R | 8,537 | 9,685 | 18,517 | ||
| R | 8,044 | 10,999 | 19,273 | ||
| R | 7,537 | 9,290 | 17,552 | ||
| D | 7,291 | 7,056 | 17,067 | ||
| D | 6,972 | 6,585 | 18,426 | ||
| R | 6,790 | 8,991 | 15,995 | ||
| R | 6,244 | 10,838 | 17,221 | ||
| R | 5,560 | 9,165 | 15,974 | ||
| R | 7,412 | 8,508 | 16,170 | ||
| R | 4,877 | 10,018 | 15,167 | ||
| R | 6,368 | 8,889 | 15,968 | ||
| D | 10,598 | 5,965 | 16,657 | ||
| R | 6,525 | 11,611 | 18,195 | ||
| R | 4,463 | 12,145 | 16,651 | ||
| R | 4,442 | 11,555 | 16,150 | ||
| R | 4,103 | 8,378 | 12,814 | ||
| R | 4,440 | 9,276 | 13,853 | ||
| R | 5,825 | 11,016 | 16,942 | ||
| R | 8,495 | 9,440 | 18,767 | ||
| R | 5,254 | 7,872 | 13,753 | ||
| R | 2,835 | 12,077 | 15,056 | ||
| R | 2,161 | 8,502 | 11,986 | ||
| R | 2,180 | 7,791 | 11,974 | ||
| R | 2,628 | 3,413 | 7,141 | ||
| O | 1,686 | 1,564 | 7,258 | ||
| R | 2,054 | 4,672 | 7,532 | ||
| R | 1,222 | 4,737 | 6,908 | ||
| R | 2,500 | 5,609 | 8,645 | ||
| R | 3,048 | 4,846 | 8,255 | ||
| R | 2,735 | 3,838 | 7,394 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.7%
Irish
13.4%
English
13.4%
Italian
7.6%
American
6.8%
Polish
3.8%
French
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 47.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$60,480
Warren, PA ranks near the middle of US counties.
Warren, PA$60,480
Pennsylvania$77,971
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1813.5%
Working age (18–64)9.8%
Seniors (65+)12.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.1%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.5%
Spanish1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Warren County anchors a small metro that has trended toward Republican presidential margins since 2008, reflecting a broader realignment among working-class white voters across Pennsylvania's northwest corridor.
The Democratic margin in Warren, PA peaked at twenty-eight points in 1964. By 2000 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was thirty-nine points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $60,480 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Warren, PA, Pennsylvania — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/47620/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Warren, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warren, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 39.1 points (R+39), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,792 votes cast, 6,212 went Democratic and 14,345 went Republican.
What is Warren, PA, Pennsylvania's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Warren, PA, Pennsylvania as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 30 times, and other 1 times.
When did Warren, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warren, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Warren, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 37,920 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania is $60,480 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Warren, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Warren, PA, Pennsylvania from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.