Warsaw, IN, Indiana: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+52%. Republican peak: R+58 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 80,4422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,3172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Warsaw, IN, INOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 7,995 | 26,213 | 35,006 | ||
| R | 8,364 | 26,499 | 35,787 | ||
| R | 6,311 | 23,927 | 32,431 | ||
| R | 6,862 | 22,558 | 30,140 | ||
| R | 9,236 | 20,488 | 30,134 | ||
| R | 5,977 | 22,136 | 28,360 | ||
| R | 5,785 | 19,040 | 25,284 | ||
| R | 6,166 | 15,084 | 23,945 | ||
| R | 5,307 | 14,179 | 24,683 | ||
| R | 5,321 | 17,761 | 23,163 | ||
| R | 4,877 | 17,560 | 22,547 | ||
| R | 5,684 | 15,633 | 22,730 | ||
| R | 7,328 | 14,505 | 22,124 | ||
| R | 4,233 | 16,216 | 20,545 | ||
| R | 5,342 | 12,633 | 19,744 | ||
| R | 8,759 | 10,488 | 19,388 | ||
| R | 5,839 | 13,539 | 19,591 | ||
| R | 4,904 | 12,777 | 17,824 | ||
| R | 4,677 | 11,521 | 16,710 | ||
| R | 5,102 | 9,327 | 14,855 | ||
| R | 4,865 | 9,577 | 14,708 | ||
| R | 5,768 | 9,879 | 15,760 | ||
| R | 6,890 | 8,182 | 15,179 | ||
| D | 7,475 | 7,063 | 14,791 | ||
| R | 4,537 | 7,973 | 12,620 | ||
| R | 4,384 | 6,819 | 11,690 | ||
| R | 4,836 | 8,326 | 13,504 | ||
| R | 3,447 | 4,025 | 7,865 | ||
| D | 2,817 | 1,767 | 7,220 | ||
| R | 3,362 | 4,377 | 8,039 | ||
| R | 2,913 | 4,550 | 7,861 | ||
| R | 3,265 | 4,422 | 7,859 | ||
| R | 3,372 | 4,342 | 7,808 | ||
| R | 3,064 | 3,823 | 7,181 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
23.5%
English
11.4%
Irish
10.6%
American
7.4%
Polish
2.0%
Italian
1.7%
French
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 39.1 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$75,317
Warsaw, IN ranks near the middle of US counties.
Warsaw, IN$75,317
Indiana$71,957
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.8%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.0%
Working age (18–64)9.2%
Seniors (65+)9.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
87.2%
speak English only
Spanish6.4%
Other Indo-European5.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Warsaw's manufacturing base—particularly orthopedic device production, which employs a significant share of the workforce—shapes a blue-collar electorate in a county that has leaned Republican by wide margins in recent statewide cycles.
The Democratic margin in Warsaw, IN peaked at fifteen points in 1912. By 1936 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-two points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $75,317 sits well below state and national norms, and 10% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Warsaw, IN, Indiana — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/47700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Warsaw, IN, Indiana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Warsaw, IN, Indiana voted Republican by 52.0 points (R+52), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,006 votes cast, 7,995 went Democratic and 26,213 went Republican.
What is Warsaw, IN, Indiana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Warsaw, IN, Indiana as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 32 times, and other 0 times.
When did Warsaw, IN, Indiana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Warsaw, IN, Indiana voted Democratic was 1932.
How many people live in Warsaw, IN, Indiana?
Warsaw, IN, Indiana has a population of 80,442 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Warsaw, IN, Indiana?
Median household income in Warsaw, IN, Indiana is $75,317 — below the national median of $80,734. The Indiana state median is $71,957.
What is the political history of Warsaw, IN, Indiana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Warsaw, IN, Indiana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.