Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI, Wisconsin: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+16%. Republican peak: R+64 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 86,0032024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,7502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 88.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 20,574 | 28,771 | 50,146 | ||
| R | 19,904 | 27,208 | 47,979 | ||
| R | 16,569 | 23,417 | 43,109 | ||
| R | 20,158 | 23,517 | 44,281 | ||
| D | 21,448 | 21,096 | 43,166 | ||
| R | 17,925 | 23,776 | 42,115 | ||
| R | 15,203 | 19,204 | 36,099 | ||
| D | 13,188 | 12,681 | 29,774 | ||
| R | 11,593 | 13,072 | 32,802 | ||
| R | 11,816 | 14,309 | 26,342 | ||
| R | 10,788 | 17,780 | 28,784 | ||
| R | 11,335 | 16,174 | 30,000 | ||
| R | 12,577 | 15,528 | 28,812 | ||
| R | 9,303 | 14,621 | 24,587 | ||
| R | 8,716 | 12,478 | 22,698 | ||
| D | 13,295 | 8,741 | 22,084 | ||
| R | 8,757 | 14,133 | 22,929 | ||
| R | 6,452 | 13,357 | 19,931 | ||
| R | 6,827 | 13,884 | 20,743 | ||
| R | 7,256 | 8,244 | 15,728 | ||
| R | 6,988 | 10,245 | 17,317 | ||
| R | 7,842 | 10,178 | 18,169 | ||
| D | 11,144 | 5,599 | 17,324 | ||
| D | 11,230 | 5,062 | 16,448 | ||
| R | 6,305 | 8,612 | 15,033 | ||
| O | 1,374 | 4,250 | 13,611 | ||
| R | 1,844 | 8,865 | 11,029 | ||
| R | 3,645 | 3,785 | 7,636 | ||
| D | 4,381 | 1,926 | 7,021 | ||
| D | 4,492 | 3,207 | 7,932 | ||
| D | 3,778 | 3,669 | 7,696 | ||
| D | 4,127 | 3,729 | 8,063 | ||
| R | 3,504 | 4,344 | 8,257 | ||
| D | 4,661 | 2,679 | 7,575 | ||
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Demographics
Anchored by Jefferson County's small manufacturing cities and surrounding farmland, this Lake Mills–to–Fort Atkinson corridor has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade, with the 2024 margin running roughly 8 points wider than in 2016.
The Democratic margin in Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI peaked at thirty-eight points in 1932. By 2012 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was sixteen points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $83,750 sits well below state and national norms, and 8% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Watertown-Fort Atkinson, WI, Wisconsin — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/48020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.