akashic
1876–2024
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY·New York

Watertown-Fort Drum, NY delivered R+24 in 2024.

Fort Drum's military footprint shapes one of New York's most Republican metros

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NY
Latest
R+24
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
115,040
2024 ACS

Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+24%. Republican peak: R+48 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+24MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
115,0402024 5-year
Median household income
$66,3012024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
82.5%2024 5-year
Black
4.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
7.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+40 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+48 in 1956MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−23.6%
16,32626,41742,843
R
−19.0%
17,30725,62943,855
R
−20.8%
13,80921,76338,236
R
−2.9%
17,09918,12235,708
R
−5.3%
18,16620,22038,886
R
−11.3%
16,86021,23138,800
R
−3.8%
16,79918,19236,423
D
+13.0%
16,78312,36234,127
R
−2.3%
13,38014,22737,426
R
−15.4%
14,13719,30433,622
R
−36.2%
10,96023,44534,496
R
−9.6%
13,27116,45533,128
R
−20.3%
13,50320,40134,028
R
−33.0%
11,62923,12334,817
R
−15.4%
13,43818,55233,109
D
+40.3%
25,17510,71835,914
R
−21.2%
15,80024,29040,115
R
−48.1%
9,95928,42938,388
R
−39.8%
12,02627,93239,983
R
−19.4%
13,17619,66133,351
R
−20.3%
14,44921,83436,329
R
−27.3%
14,58125,58440,262
R
−27.7%
13,97524,92539,466
R
−25.3%
13,47822,76036,724
R
−33.9%
12,90826,36139,695
R
−43.6%
7,66521,15930,942
R
−45.3%
7,92522,07231,201
R
−21.5%
7,08911,19719,081
R
−3.6%
6,0546,69217,624
R
−24.1%
6,69411,47719,813
R
−26.9%
6,69612,05019,893
R
−26.2%
6,77611,87019,451
R
−25.4%
6,64411,41118,744
R
−14.7%
7,1819,85618,146
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
15.9%
German
13.8%
English
13.5%
Italian
8.2%
American
6.0%
French
5.5%
Polish
3.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 33.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.5%
85+
1.1%
2.1%
75–84
2.4%
4.3%
65–74
4.7%
5.5%
55–64
5.6%
4.9%
45–54
4.7%
6.4%
35–44
5.9%
9.1%
25–34
7.2%
7.3%
18–24
4.3%
8.6%
5–17
8.1%
3.7%
<5
3.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$66,301
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY ranks near the middle of US counties.
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY$66,301
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.7%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.8%
Working age (18–64)12.3%
Seniors (65+)8.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
91.9%
speak English only
Spanish3.8%
Other Indo-European2.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.3%
Other languages0.6%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
17.6%
Other Christian
3.7%
Methodist
2.9%
Mainline Protestant
2.3%
Baptist
1.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.1%
Non-Christian
0.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 70.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to the Army's 10th Mountain Division, Watertown-Fort Drum leans heavily Republican — its R+66.9 margin in 2024 stands out sharply in a state dominated by Democratic pluralities elsewhere.

The Democratic margin in Watertown-Fort Drum, NY has rarely exceeded forty points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-eight points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by twenty-four points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 83% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $66,301 — all within the broad national range.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/48060/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York voted Republican by 23.6 points (R+24), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 42,843 votes cast, 16,326 went Democratic and 26,417 went Republican.
What is Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York as a "Bellwether" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 2 times, Republican 32 times, and other 0 times.
When did Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York?
Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York has a population of 115,040 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York?
Median household income in Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York is $66,301 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Watertown-Fort Drum, NY, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.