Wilmington, NC, North Carolina: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+14%. Democratic peak: D+66 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 453,3472024 5-year
- Median household income
- $76,5472024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 121,831 | 161,649 | 287,021 | ||
| R | 111,171 | 141,137 | 256,174 | ||
| R | 83,615 | 115,703 | 208,141 | ||
| R | 80,338 | 102,745 | 185,517 | ||
| R | 80,383 | 94,915 | 177,022 | ||
| R | 57,474 | 78,313 | 136,309 | ||
| D | 59,591 | 48,825 | 109,312 | ||
| R | 38,289 | 43,492 | 88,732 | ||
| R | 36,293 | 38,028 | 86,984 | ||
| R | 27,659 | 38,740 | 66,575 | ||
| R | 23,719 | 38,523 | 62,393 | ||
| R | 24,813 | 26,158 | 52,783 | ||
| D | 26,303 | 19,386 | 46,080 | ||
| R | 9,809 | 28,540 | 39,353 | ||
| O | 12,664 | 13,431 | 41,464 | ||
| D | 20,029 | 17,822 | 37,851 | ||
| D | 20,231 | 13,964 | 34,195 | ||
| D | 15,740 | 13,778 | 29,518 | ||
| D | 15,310 | 13,440 | 28,750 | ||
| D | 8,750 | 5,362 | 18,014 | ||
| D | 13,545 | 5,267 | 18,812 | ||
| D | 13,566 | 3,462 | 17,028 | ||
| D | 12,468 | 3,264 | 15,732 | ||
| D | 10,268 | 3,498 | 13,935 | ||
| R | 4,776 | 7,479 | 12,255 | ||
| D | 7,028 | 2,739 | 10,230 | ||
| D | 6,935 | 2,773 | 9,708 | ||
| D | 4,135 | 1,881 | 6,017 | ||
| D | 3,765 | 439 | 5,035 | ||
| D | 3,394 | 1,725 | 5,119 | ||
| D | 2,721 | 746 | 3,467 | ||
| D | 3,909 | 1,246 | 5,188 | ||
| R | 4,655 | 5,225 | 10,070 | ||
| D | 4,035 | 2,906 | 7,801 | ||
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Demographics
The Wilmington metro anchors southeastern North Carolina's fastest-growing corridor, where an influx of retirees and proximity to Camp Lejeune produce an electorate that swings notably on veterans' issues and coastal-economy concerns.
The shift began with civil rights. 2004 marked the realignment in Wilmington, NC, by a fifteen points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-eight points in 1972. The 2024 margin was fourteen points.
The political shift has tracked, in Wilmington, NC, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 78% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $76,547, and a 11% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Wilmington, NC, North Carolina — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/48900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.