Wilmington, OH, Ohio: Populist metro. In 2024, voted R+54%. Republican peak: R+54 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 42,0122024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,4072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Wilmington, OH, OHOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,633 | 15,984 | 20,870 | ||
| R | 4,697 | 15,488 | 20,527 | ||
| R | 4,066 | 13,838 | 18,966 | ||
| R | 5,791 | 12,009 | 18,329 | ||
| R | 6,558 | 12,409 | 19,342 | ||
| R | 5,417 | 12,938 | 18,414 | ||
| R | 4,791 | 9,824 | 15,070 | ||
| R | 5,303 | 7,504 | 14,521 | ||
| R | 4,638 | 7,290 | 15,391 | ||
| R | 3,746 | 8,856 | 12,699 | ||
| R | 3,332 | 9,603 | 13,018 | ||
| R | 3,967 | 7,675 | 12,400 | ||
| R | 4,959 | 6,597 | 11,737 | ||
| R | 2,709 | 8,140 | 10,988 | ||
| R | 2,982 | 6,265 | 11,077 | ||
| D | 6,514 | 6,082 | 12,596 | ||
| R | 4,498 | 8,464 | 12,962 | ||
| R | 3,382 | 7,919 | 11,301 | ||
| R | 3,885 | 8,191 | 12,076 | ||
| R | 3,758 | 6,009 | 9,799 | ||
| R | 3,713 | 7,200 | 10,913 | ||
| R | 4,964 | 7,027 | 11,991 | ||
| R | 5,785 | 6,265 | 12,127 | ||
| R | 5,252 | 5,953 | 11,368 | ||
| R | 2,603 | 7,150 | 9,797 | ||
| R | 2,496 | 5,954 | 8,876 | ||
| R | 3,598 | 6,947 | 10,588 | ||
| R | 2,602 | 3,520 | 6,221 | ||
| R | 2,010 | 2,916 | 5,990 | ||
| R | 2,464 | 4,107 | 6,683 | ||
| R | 1,826 | 3,937 | 5,984 | ||
| R | 2,394 | 4,149 | 6,682 | ||
| R | 2,657 | 4,144 | 6,886 | ||
| R | 2,076 | 3,491 | 5,929 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.3%
English
15.2%
Irish
14.0%
American
8.6%
Scottish
2.2%
Italian
1.4%
Polish
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$70,407
Wilmington, OH ranks near the middle of US counties.
Wilmington, OH$70,407
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1816.3%
Working age (18–64)11.7%
Seniors (65+)13.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.4%
speak English only
Spanish1.6%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 70.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Wilmington anchors Clinton County, a historically Republican stronghold where logistics and light manufacturing drive the workforce. The area drew national attention after a major DHL hub closure in 2008 reshaped its economic and political landscape.
The Democratic margin in Wilmington, OH peaked at three points in 1964. By 1968 the metro had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-four points, the most Republican-leaning result in the metro's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $70,407 sits well below state and national norms, and 13% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Wilmington, OH, Ohio — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/48940/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Wilmington, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Wilmington, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 54.4 points (R+54), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 20,870 votes cast, 4,633 went Democratic and 15,984 went Republican.
What is Wilmington, OH, Ohio's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Wilmington, OH, Ohio as a "Populist" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 1 times, Republican 33 times, and other 0 times.
When did Wilmington, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Wilmington, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Wilmington, OH, Ohio?
Wilmington, OH, Ohio has a population of 42,012 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Wilmington, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Wilmington, OH, Ohio is $70,407 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Wilmington, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Wilmington, OH, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 33 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Populist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.