akashic
1876–2024
Winchester, TN·Tennessee

For twenty-four years, Winchester, TN voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

A mid-South metro where a once-reliable partisan lean has nearly vanished

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TN
Latest
R+53
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
43,990
2024 ACS

Winchester, TN, Tennessee: Realigner metro. In 2024, voted R+53%. Democratic peak: D+78 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+53MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
RealignerAkashic typology
Population
43,9902024 5-year
Median household income
$63,4942024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
88.1%2024 5-year
Black
4.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+78 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+53 in 2024MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−53.0%
4,52915,01619,769
R
−47.7%
4,86413,98719,132
R
−43.6%
4,37411,53216,404
R
−28.9%
5,60310,26216,119
R
−22.5%
6,61310,53917,432
R
−7.8%
7,8009,12917,077
D
+8.6%
7,8286,56014,691
D
+12.2%
6,9295,29613,379
D
+23.0%
7,7734,50714,176
D
+0.6%
5,4425,38110,886
D
+1.2%
5,8465,70511,621
D
+24.9%
6,7603,99511,090
D
+43.8%
6,7882,6199,524
R
−17.2%
2,8964,1367,192
O
+8.6%
2,4891,7009,128
D
+45.4%
6,0292,2628,291
D
+42.0%
5,0412,0417,139
D
+46.5%
4,7911,7276,595
D
+40.5%
4,7862,0156,834
D
+52.9%
2,9485894,461
D
+73.4%
3,9586004,573
D
+76.5%
4,3125694,893
D
+74.2%
3,5345194,066
D
+78.1%
3,0293603,417
D
+29.3%
1,6989282,632
D
+48.1%
2,0727072,837
D
+38.4%
3,5041,5585,064
D
+54.3%
2,4697113,235
D
+65.8%
2,1723702,738
D
+50.0%
2,1687162,902
D
+50.6%
2,1807042,918
D
+55.1%
2,1966132,871
D
+50.0%
2,5848343,502
D
+41.9%
1,8965773,146
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
15.8%
American
14.5%
German
9.1%
Irish
9.0%
Scottish
2.5%
French
2.0%
Polish
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.6%
85+
1.4%
3.1%
75–84
3.4%
5.9%
65–74
6.5%
6.8%
55–64
7.0%
6.1%
45–54
6.1%
5.3%
35–44
5.5%
5.4%
25–34
5.9%
6.0%
18–24
5.4%
7.4%
5–17
7.1%
2.7%
<5
2.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$63,494
Winchester, TN ranks near the middle of US counties.
Winchester, TN$63,494
Tennessee$69,595
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.0%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.8%
Working age (18–64)10.0%
Seniors (65+)12.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.9%
speak English only
Spanish2.4%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
21.4%
Other Christian
9.2%
Methodist
6.7%
Mainline Protestant
6.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.6%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Winchester's Franklin County core sits in the Cumberland Plateau foothills, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+2.9 marks a striking compression from earlier cycles, reflecting demographic and economic shifts reshaping small Tennessee metros.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Winchester, TN peaked at seventy-eight points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2004 election delivered the metro to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of eight points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $63,494 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line.

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Winchester, TN, Tennessee — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/49010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Winchester, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Winchester, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 53.0 points (R+53), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,769 votes cast, 4,529 went Democratic and 15,016 went Republican.
What is Winchester, TN, Tennessee's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Winchester, TN, Tennessee as a "Realigner" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 26 times, Republican 7 times, and other 1 times.
When did Winchester, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Winchester, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Winchester, TN, Tennessee?
Winchester, TN, Tennessee has a population of 43,990 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Winchester, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Winchester, TN, Tennessee is $63,494 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Winchester, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Winchester, TN, Tennessee from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 7 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Realigner" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.