Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia: Old Confederacy metro. In 2024, voted R+27%. Democratic peak: D+55 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+27MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
- Population
- 146,3862024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,6642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 12.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47 in 1972MIT Election Lab
Constituent county margins for Winchester, VA-WV, VAOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 26,628 | 46,833 | 74,657 | ||
| R | 25,756 | 43,812 | 70,895 | ||
| R | 18,676 | 37,565 | 59,784 | ||
| R | 20,083 | 33,327 | 54,709 | ||
| R | 21,212 | 30,096 | 52,084 | ||
| R | 15,275 | 30,158 | 45,879 | ||
| R | 12,545 | 22,767 | 36,375 | ||
| R | 11,338 | 17,103 | 31,415 | ||
| R | 10,075 | 16,025 | 31,340 | ||
| R | 8,092 | 17,671 | 25,942 | ||
| R | 6,837 | 18,662 | 25,606 | ||
| R | 7,476 | 14,412 | 22,995 | ||
| R | 8,839 | 11,334 | 20,357 | ||
| R | 4,659 | 13,098 | 18,011 | ||
| R | 4,763 | 8,350 | 16,731 | ||
| D | 8,515 | 6,238 | 14,765 | ||
| R | 5,809 | 6,928 | 12,770 | ||
| R | 4,706 | 6,933 | 11,811 | ||
| R | 4,772 | 6,351 | 11,130 | ||
| D | 4,495 | 3,544 | 8,668 | ||
| D | 4,698 | 3,671 | 8,381 | ||
| D | 6,022 | 3,469 | 9,501 | ||
| D | 6,274 | 2,920 | 9,234 | ||
| D | 6,396 | 2,412 | 8,914 | ||
| D | 4,066 | 3,953 | 8,034 | ||
| D | 5,127 | 2,076 | 7,289 | ||
| D | 4,294 | 2,629 | 7,003 | ||
| D | 3,843 | 1,307 | 5,201 | ||
| D | 3,146 | 728 | 4,365 | ||
| D | 3,088 | 1,303 | 4,465 | ||
| D | 3,130 | 1,162 | 4,403 | ||
| R | 3,000 | 3,117 | 6,180 | ||
| D | 4,247 | 1,968 | 6,316 | ||
| D | 4,492 | 1,691 | 6,394 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
16.5%
English
13.9%
Irish
12.8%
American
7.0%
Italian
5.1%
French
2.0%
Polish
1.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$85,664
Winchester, VA-WV ranks near the middle of US counties.
Winchester, VA-WV$85,664
Virginia$93,170
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.6%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.5%
Working age (18–64)9.4%
Seniors (65+)10.6%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
88.3%
speak English only
Spanish9.1%
Other Indo-European1.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.7%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 59.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Winchester spans the Virginia–West Virginia line along the lower Shenandoah Valley, drawing commuters from the D.C. corridor whose arrival has gradually narrowed what were once double-digit Republican margins in federal races.
The shift began with civil rights. 1968 marked the realignment in Winchester, VA-WV, by a twenty-one points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at forty-seven points in 1972. The 2024 margin was twenty-seven points.
The political shift has tracked, in Winchester, VA-WV, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 79% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $85,664, and a 11% poverty rate describe the demographic context.
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/49020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia vote in 2024?
In 2024, Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia voted Republican by 27.1 points (R+27), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 74,657 votes cast, 26,628 went Democratic and 46,833 went Republican.
What is Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia as a "Old Confederacy" metro based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the metro has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 19 times, and other 0 times.
When did Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia has a population of 146,386 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Median household income in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia is $85,664 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Winchester, VA-WV, Virginia from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The metro's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.