Winona, MN, Minnesota: Bellwether metro. In 2024, voted R+5%. Republican peak: R+44 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 49,7792024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,7442024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+31 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+44 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 12,929 | 14,288 | 27,797 | ||
| D | 13,333 | 13,227 | 27,173 | ||
| R | 11,366 | 12,122 | 26,074 | ||
| D | 14,980 | 11,480 | 27,232 | ||
| D | 16,308 | 10,975 | 27,935 | ||
| D | 14,231 | 12,686 | 27,422 | ||
| D | 11,069 | 10,773 | 23,918 | ||
| D | 10,272 | 7,955 | 21,616 | ||
| D | 9,707 | 8,585 | 24,518 | ||
| R | 10,310 | 11,012 | 21,624 | ||
| R | 9,577 | 11,981 | 21,770 | ||
| R | 9,814 | 10,332 | 22,903 | ||
| D | 10,939 | 10,436 | 21,914 | ||
| R | 8,080 | 10,910 | 19,327 | ||
| D | 8,627 | 7,998 | 17,443 | ||
| D | 11,397 | 6,345 | 17,770 | ||
| R | 8,484 | 9,271 | 17,780 | ||
| R | 6,048 | 9,743 | 15,893 | ||
| R | 5,834 | 10,723 | 16,621 | ||
| D | 8,281 | 6,880 | 15,313 | ||
| R | 6,117 | 8,296 | 14,506 | ||
| R | 7,187 | 9,599 | 16,891 | ||
| D | 9,268 | 5,353 | 15,551 | ||
| D | 8,305 | 4,751 | 13,308 | ||
| R | 6,484 | 7,459 | 14,031 | ||
| O | 1,111 | 5,670 | 13,026 | ||
| R | 2,896 | 7,888 | 11,300 | ||
| R | 2,907 | 2,916 | 6,082 | ||
| D | 3,004 | 1,042 | 6,300 | ||
| D | 3,072 | 3,014 | 6,249 | ||
| R | 2,063 | 3,734 | 6,099 | ||
| D | 3,436 | 3,305 | 6,980 | ||
| R | 3,528 | 3,935 | 7,639 | ||
| R | 2,734 | 3,701 | 6,844 | ||
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Demographics
Winona's electorate is heavily influenced by the student population at Winona State University and Saint Mary's University, compressing the median voter age and boosting turnout volatility in even-numbered years.
The Democratic margin in Winona, MN has rarely exceeded thirty-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-four points. 2024 delivered the metro to the Republican candidate by five points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most metros. A 90% non-Hispanic-white share, a 15% poverty rate, and a median household income of $70,744 — all within the broad national range.
Winona, MN, Minnesota — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://tiers.akashic.app/cbsa/49100/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.